CrimeMetric

Crime in East Lake, Florida

Major crime in East Lake is 66% below the U.S. rate per resident: 74% lower for persons crimes and 64% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 5.8% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
34
66% below the U.S. rate
54% below the Florida rate
down 5.8% in a year
Persons crimes
26
74% below the U.S. rate
68% below the Florida rate
up 2.6% in a year
Property crimes
36
64% below the U.S. rate
51% below the Florida rate
down 7.0% in a year
Social disorder
37
63% below the U.S. rate
52% below the Florida rate
up 2.3% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in East Lake

Crime by type

Every crime type in East Lake is near or below the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in East Lake for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across East Lake

The middle half of East Lake residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 18 and 32; the typical (median) resident's is 23. The citywide figure (34) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of East Lake, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Tap one to compare it. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5083.0%
  • 50–10010.7%
  • 100–2006.4%
  • 200–4000.0%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weeknights

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm27
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am43
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm30
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am41
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 5.8% in a year; across Florida it fell 7.8%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-5.8%FL -7.8%-16.0%FL -7.9%
Persons crimes+2.6%FL -1.4%-3.8%FL +3.7%
Property crimes-7.0%FL -9.3%-18.0%FL -10.8%
Social disorder+2.3%FL -3.5%-8.3%FL -0.3%

Change in expected crimes, with Florida as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

East Lake against U.S. places with 25,000 to 50,000 residents

873 of the 960 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than East Lake; the middle of the group is 77. The 9 nearest in population:

Bangor, ME33,170237
Sherwood, AR33,166194
San Dimas, CA32,936120
Laramie, WY33,00358
Savage, MN32,95747
East Lake, FL33,13234

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

East Lake has a higher major-crime index than 1 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Palm Harbor (3 mi), is 30% above East Lake's rate.

Oldsmar4 mi78
Elfers8 mi77
Holiday7 mi72
Dunedin7 mi48
Trinity6 mi38
East Lake34

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in East Lake

What are the most common crimes in East Lake?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 53 a year), theft from vehicle (about 43 a year) and shoplifting (about 35 a year). Compared with the U.S., simple assault stands out most: 46% below the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. East Lake's figures add up its 18 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • East Lake has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 30.4% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 33,132. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in East Lake, Florida." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/fl/east-lake

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100