CrimeMetric

Crime in Tarpon Springs, Florida

Major crime in Tarpon Springs is 21% below the U.S. rate per resident: 22% lower for persons crimes and 20% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 15.8% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
79
21% below the U.S. rate
7% above the Florida rate
down 15.8% in a year
Persons crimes
78
22% below the U.S. rate
about the Florida rate
down 10.0% in a year
Property crimes
80
20% below the U.S. rate
9% above the Florida rate
down 17.0% in a year
Social disorder
84
17% below the U.S. rate
8% above the Florida rate
down 14.2% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Tarpon Springs

Crime by type

Simple assault stands out most, at 41% above the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Tarpon Springs for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Tarpon Springs

The middle half of Tarpon Springs residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 40 and 90; the typical (median) resident's is 46. The citywide figure (79) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of Tarpon Springs, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Tap one to compare it. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5051.8%
  • 50–10038.2%
  • 100–2000.0%
  • 200–4009.7%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on Friday and Saturday nights

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm75
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am81
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm83
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am86
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 15.8% in a year; across Florida it fell 7.8%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-15.8%FL -7.8%-12.9%FL -7.9%
Persons crimes-10.0%FL -1.4%-1.1%FL +3.7%
Property crimes-17.0%FL -9.3%-15.5%FL -10.8%
Social disorder-14.2%FL -3.5%-4.6%FL -0.3%

Change in expected crimes, with Florida as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Tarpon Springs against U.S. places with 25,000 to 50,000 residents

466 of the 960 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Tarpon Springs; the middle of the group is 77. The 9 nearest in population:

Wheeling, WV26,285153
Walker, MI26,346130
Tarpon Springs, FL26,34279
Wasco, CA26,28272
Fairhope, AL26,33170
Bartow, FL26,34760
Mustang, OK26,35447

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Tarpon Springs has a higher major-crime index than all of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Holiday (3 mi), is 10% below Tarpon Springs's rate.

Tarpon Springs79
Elfers5 mi77
Holiday3 mi72
Dunedin8 mi48
Trinity6 mi38
East Lake5 mi34

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Tarpon Springs

What are the most common crimes in Tarpon Springs?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are shoplifting (about 100 a year), other larceny (about 84 a year) and theft from vehicle (about 63 a year). Compared with the U.S., simple assault stands out most: 41% above the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Tarpon Springs's figures add up its 17 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Tarpon Springs has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 66.9% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 26,342. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Tarpon Springs, Florida." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/fl/tarpon-springs

Use these numbers in your product

Any U.S. address by API or MCP, free for 10,000 lookups a month.

Get a free API key

Nearest cities we publish

Major-crime index, U.S. = 100