Crime in Middleburg, Florida
Major crime in Middleburg is 32% below the U.S. rate per resident: about the same for persons crimes and 40% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are about flat from a year earlier.
Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this
Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.
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Simple assault stands out most, at 1.8 times the U.S. rate
Expected crimes per year in Middleburg for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.
Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live
Property crimes
Social disorder
How crime varies across Middleburg
The middle half of Middleburg residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 31 and 67; the typical (median) resident's is 34. The citywide figure (68) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.
- 0–5060.2%
- 50–10018.8%
- 100–20021.0%
- 200–4000.0%
- 400+0.0%
Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.
Highest on weekend daytimes
Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.
Major crime rose 0.9% in a year; across Florida it fell 7.8%
Change in expected crimes, with Florida as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.
Middleburg against U.S. places with 10,000 to 25,000 residents
1,151 of the 2,149 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Middleburg; the middle of the group is 72. The 9 nearest in population:
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.
Middleburg has a higher major-crime index than 5 of its 8 nearest neighbors
The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Asbury Lake (7 mi), is 69% below Middleburg's rate.
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.
Questions about crime in Middleburg
What are the most common crimes in Middleburg?
By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 45 a year), shoplifting (about 39 a year) and aggravated assault (about 31 a year). Compared with the U.S., simple assault stands out most: 1.8 times the U.S. rate per resident.
How we calculated this
Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Middleburg's figures add up its 7 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.
- Middleburg has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
- 21.0% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
- Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
- Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
- Residents: 12,511. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2
Full method and validation·Data sources
CrimeMetric. "Crime in Middleburg, Florida." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/fl/middleburg
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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100
- Asbury Lake7 mi21
- Lakeside10 mi71
- Fleming Island12 mi46
- Green Cove Springs13 mi69
- Bellair-Meadowbrook Terrace14 mi133
- Starke14 mi37
- Orange Park14 mi49
- Macclenny22 mi51