CrimeMetric

Crime in Green Cove Springs, Florida

Major crime in Green Cove Springs is 31% below the U.S. rate per resident: 11% lower for persons crimes and 36% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 7.1% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
69
31% below the U.S. rate
8% below the Florida rate
down 7.1% in a year
Persons crimes
90
11% below the U.S. rate
10% above the Florida rate
down 5.3% in a year
Property crimes
64
36% below the U.S. rate
12% below the Florida rate
down 7.7% in a year
Social disorder
110
10% above the U.S. rate
43% above the Florida rate
down 6.2% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Green Cove Springs

Crime by type

Rape / sexual assault stands out most, at 1.9 times the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Green Cove Springs for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

Neighborhoods in Green Cove Springs

Green Cove Springs is made up of 4 census block groups. The typical resident lives where the major-crime index is 58; the middle half of residents live where it is between 37 and 78.

Map of Green Cove Springs, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the key's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5041.4%
  • 50–10040.4%
  • 100–20018.2%
  • 200–4000.0%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on Friday and Saturday nights

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm61
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am79
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm55
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am83
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 7.1% in a year; across Florida it fell 7.8%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-7.1%FL -7.8%-11.7%FL -7.9%
Persons crimes-5.3%FL -1.4%0.0%FL +3.7%
Property crimes-7.7%FL -9.3%-15.3%FL -10.8%
Social disorder-6.2%FL -3.5%-5.1%FL -0.3%

Change in expected crimes, with Florida as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Green Cove Springs against U.S. places with 10,000 to 25,000 residents

1,141 of the 2,149 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Green Cove Springs; the middle of the group is 72. The 9 nearest in population:

Cuero, TX10,131100
Shawano, WI10,12393
Fairmont, MN10,13580
Green Cove Springs, FL10,14669
Paris, KY10,13464
London, OH10,17150
Fairwood, MD10,15538

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Green Cove Springs has a higher major-crime index than 4 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Asbury Lake (7 mi), is 69% below Green Cove Springs's rate.

Jacksonville21 mi154
Palatka24 mi109
Lakeside11 mi71
Green Cove Springs69
Middleburg13 mi68

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Green Cove Springs

What are the most common crimes in Green Cove Springs?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 56 a year), aggravated assault (about 19 a year) and shoplifting (about 16 a year). Compared with the U.S., rape / sexual assault stands out most: 1.9 times the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Green Cove Springs's figures add up its 4 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Green Cove Springs has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 0.0% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 10,146. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Green Cove Springs, Florida." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/fl/green-cove-springs

Use these numbers in your product

Any U.S. address by API or MCP, free for 10,000 lookups a month.

Get a free API key

Nearest cities we publish

Major-crime index, U.S. = 100