CrimeMetric

Crime in Asbury Lake, Florida

Major crime in Asbury Lake is 79% below the U.S. rate per resident: 61% lower for persons crimes and 82% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are about flat from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
21
79% below the U.S. rate
71% below the Florida rate
about flat in a year
Persons crimes
39
61% below the U.S. rate
53% below the Florida rate
up 4.1% in a year
Property crimes
18
82% below the U.S. rate
76% below the Florida rate
down 1.2% in a year
Social disorder
39
61% below the U.S. rate
49% below the Florida rate
up 5.7% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Asbury Lake

Crime by type

Every crime type in Asbury Lake is near or below the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Asbury Lake for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

Neighborhoods in Asbury Lake

Asbury Lake is made up of 4 census block groups. The typical resident lives where the major-crime index is 19; the middle half of residents live where it is between 16 and 27.

Map of Asbury Lake, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the key's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–50100.0%
  • 50–1000.0%
  • 100–2000.0%
  • 200–4000.0%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on Friday and Saturday nights

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm20
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am23
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm20
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am24
Trend and outlook

Major crime rose 0.5% in a year; across Florida it fell 7.8%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime+0.5%FL -7.8%-4.7%FL -7.9%
Persons crimes+4.1%FL -1.4%+7.3%FL +3.7%
Property crimes-1.2%FL -9.3%-10.5%FL -10.8%
Social disorder+5.7%FL -3.5%+5.1%FL -0.3%

Change in expected crimes, with Florida as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Asbury Lake against U.S. places with 10,000 to 25,000 residents

2,109 of the 2,149 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Asbury Lake; the middle of the group is 72. The 9 nearest in population:

Jasper, AL15,645191
Lemay, MO15,641133
Blythe, CA15,62786
Seaford, NY15,67146
Asbury Lake, FL15,64321

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Asbury Lake has a lower major-crime index than all of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Fleming Island (6 mi), is 2.1 times Asbury Lake's rate.

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Asbury Lake

What are the most common crimes in Asbury Lake?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 22 a year), aggravated assault (about 14 a year) and burglary (about 6 a year). Compared with the U.S., simple assault stands out most: 23% below the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Asbury Lake's figures add up its 4 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Asbury Lake has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 0.0% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 15,643. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Asbury Lake, Florida." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/fl/asbury-lake

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100