Crime in Lakeland, Florida
Major crime in Lakeland is 7% below the U.S. rate per resident: 30% higher for persons crimes and 15% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 16.2% from a year earlier.
Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this
Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.
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Drugs and alcohol stands out most, at 2.0 times the U.S. rate
Expected crimes per year in Lakeland for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.
Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live
Property crimes
Social disorder
How crime varies across Lakeland
The middle half of Lakeland residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 44 and 102; the typical (median) resident's is 73. The citywide figure (94) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.
- 0–5026.7%
- 50–10041.4%
- 100–20024.7%
- 200–4005.5%
- 400+1.7%
Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.
Lowest on weeknights
Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.
Major crime fell 16.2% in a year; across Florida it fell 7.8%
Change in expected crimes, with Florida as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.
Lakeland against U.S. places with 100,000 to 250,000 residents
168 of the 268 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Lakeland; the middle of the group is 109. The 9 nearest in population:
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.
Lakeland has a higher major-crime index than all of its 8 nearest neighbors
The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Combee Settlement (3 mi), is 29% below Lakeland's rate.
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.
Questions about crime in Lakeland
What are the most common crimes in Lakeland?
By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 676 a year), aggravated assault (about 379 a year) and shoplifting (about 366 a year). Compared with the U.S., drugs and alcohol stands out most: 2.0 times the U.S. rate per resident.
How we calculated this
Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Lakeland's figures add up its 70 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.
- Lakeland's published incident records inform the estimate for every neighborhood.
- 47.4% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
- Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
- Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
- Residents: 122,641. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2
Full method and validation·Data sources
CrimeMetric. "Crime in Lakeland, Florida." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/fl/lakeland
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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100
- Combee Settlement3 mi66
- Crystal Lake3 mi78
- Fussels Corner6 mi36
- Medulla6 mi45
- Lakeland Highlands6 mi30
- Kathleen7 mi30
- Highland City7 mi32
- Fuller Heights9 mi29