CrimeMetric

Crime in Rochester, Minnesota

Major crime in Rochester is 24% below the U.S. rate per resident: 49% lower for persons crimes and 18% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 16.8% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
76
24% below the U.S. rate
21% below the Minnesota rate
down 16.8% in a year
Persons crimes
51
49% below the U.S. rate
31% below the Minnesota rate
down 8.0% in a year
Property crimes
82
18% below the U.S. rate
19% below the Minnesota rate
down 17.8% in a year
Social disorder
53
47% below the U.S. rate
24% below the Minnesota rate
down 15.2% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Rochester

Crime by type

Rape / sexual assault and shoplifting stand out most, at about 12% above the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Rochester for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Rochester

The middle half of Rochester residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 25 and 84; the typical (median) resident's is 42. The citywide figure (76) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of Rochester, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Tap one to compare it. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5056.2%
  • 50–10028.7%
  • 100–2009.6%
  • 200–4004.2%
  • 400+1.3%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest in the daytime

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm82
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am71
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm81
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am66
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 16.8% in a year; across Minnesota it fell 1.8%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-16.8%MN -1.8%-13.3%MN -13.1%
Persons crimes-8.0%MN -1.1%-0.5%MN -2.7%
Property crimes-17.8%MN -1.9%-15.1%MN -14.8%
Social disorder-15.2%MN -0.6%-6.6%MN -7.4%

Change in expected crimes, with Minnesota as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Rochester against U.S. places with 100,000 to 250,000 residents

205 of the 268 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Rochester; the middle of the group is 109. The 9 nearest in population:

Berkeley, CA122,820277
Las Cruces, NM122,435189
Hartford, CT122,877131
Concord, CA122,059121
Lewisville, TX122,828105
Lakeland, FL122,64194
Rochester, MN122,27976
Concord, NC122,51252

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Rochester has a higher major-crime index than 6 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Byron (9 mi), is 74% below Rochester's rate.

Austin36 mi104
Red Wing36 mi92
Rochester76
Wabasha31 mi64
Owatonna37 mi51
Lake City30 mi40
Kasson13 mi29
Byron9 mi20

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Rochester

What are the most common crimes in Rochester?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 517 a year), shoplifting (about 433 a year) and theft from vehicle (about 246 a year). Compared with the U.S., rape / sexual assault stands out most: 12% above the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Rochester's figures add up its 84 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Rochester has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 33.2% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 122,279. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Rochester, Minnesota." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/mn/rochester

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100