CrimeMetric

Crime in Palm River-Clair Mel, Florida

Major crime in Palm River-Clair Mel is 66% below the U.S. rate per resident: 39% lower for persons crimes and 72% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 13.1% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
34
66% below the U.S. rate
54% below the Florida rate
down 13.1% in a year
Persons crimes
61
39% below the U.S. rate
26% below the Florida rate
up 1.0% in a year
Property crimes
28
72% below the U.S. rate
61% below the Florida rate
down 18.5% in a year
Social disorder
84
16% below the U.S. rate
9% above the Florida rate
down 6.7% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Palm River-Clair Mel

Crime by type

Drugs and alcohol stands out most, at 39% above the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Palm River-Clair Mel for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Palm River-Clair Mel

The middle half of Palm River-Clair Mel residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 20 and 44; the typical (median) resident's is 32.

Map of Palm River-Clair Mel, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Tap one to compare it. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5083.4%
  • 50–10016.6%
  • 100–2000.0%
  • 200–4000.0%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weeknights

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm1
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am78
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm1
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am68
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 13.1% in a year; across Florida it fell 7.8%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-13.1%FL -7.8%-5.1%FL -7.9%
Persons crimes+1.0%FL -1.4%+4.8%FL +3.7%
Property crimes-18.5%FL -9.3%-9.7%FL -10.8%
Social disorder-6.7%FL -3.5%-1.0%FL -0.3%

Change in expected crimes, with Florida as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Palm River-Clair Mel against U.S. places with 25,000 to 50,000 residents

873 of the 960 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Palm River-Clair Mel; the middle of the group is 77. The 9 nearest in population:

Bridgeton, NJ29,099143
Fresno, TX29,03560
Gardner, KS29,06457
Palm River-Clair Mel, FL29,09634

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Palm River-Clair Mel has a higher major-crime index than 3 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Brandon (5 mi), is 11% above Palm River-Clair Mel's rate.

Tampa7 mi66
Mango6 mi44
Brandon5 mi38
Palm River-Clair Mel34
Gibsonton7 mi30
Seffner8 mi27

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Palm River-Clair Mel

What are the most common crimes in Palm River-Clair Mel?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 47 a year), aggravated assault (about 46 a year) and theft from vehicle (about 28 a year). Compared with the U.S., drugs and alcohol stands out most: 39% above the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Palm River-Clair Mel's figures add up its 16 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Palm River-Clair Mel has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 51.1% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 29,096. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Palm River-Clair Mel, Florida." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/fl/palm-river-clair-mel

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100