CrimeMetric

Crime in Baltimore, Maryland

Major crime in Baltimore is 3.2 times the U.S. rate per resident: 4.3 times for persons crimes and 3.0 times for property crimes. Expected major crimes are up 1.1% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
320
3.2 times the U.S. rate
2.8 times the Maryland rate
up 1.1% in a year
Persons crimes
431
4.3 times the U.S. rate
4.1 times the Maryland rate
about flat in a year
Property crimes
295
3.0 times the U.S. rate
2.5 times the Maryland rate
up 1.7% in a year
Social disorder
224
2.2 times the U.S. rate
2.5 times the Maryland rate
up 3.4% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

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Crime by type

Robbery stands out most, at 8.2 times the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Baltimore for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

Persons crimes

Robbery8161,996
Murder48399

Property crimes

Burglary2712,532
Shoplifting2244,050

Social disorder

Vandalism3377,872
Trespassing2242,993
Intimidation1111,446

How crime varies across Baltimore

The middle half of Baltimore residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 137 and 372; the typical (median) resident's is 228. The citywide figure (320) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of Baltimore, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Tap one to compare it. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–502.4%
  • 50–1009.9%
  • 100–20030.5%
  • 200–40034.7%
  • 400+22.4%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest at night

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm288
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am355
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm292
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am362
Trend and outlook

Major crime rose 1.1% in a year; across Maryland it fell 10.0%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime+1.1%MD -10.0%-14.9%MD -12.7%
Persons crimes-0.9%MD -9.9%-9.6%MD -5.4%
Property crimes+1.7%MD -10.0%-16.7%MD -14.1%
Social disorder+3.4%MD -7.6%-10.0%MD -6.6%

Change in expected crimes, with Maryland as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Baltimore against U.S. places with 500,000 to 1 million residents

1 of the 25 other places of this size has a higher major-crime index than Baltimore; the middle of the group is 190. The 9 nearest in population:

Baltimore, MD570,226320
Memphis, TN614,042266
Albuquerque, NM561,025257
Kansas City, MO526,442251
Atlanta, GA540,663208
Milwaukee, WI562,991190
Fresno, CA564,443188
Tucson, AZ553,071172
Sacramento, CA531,578151
Raleigh, NC526,475148

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Baltimore has a higher major-crime index than all of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Towson (5 mi), is 42% below Baltimore's rate.

Baltimore320
Arbutus6 mi195
Towson5 mi187
Lansdowne5 mi175
Overlea6 mi161
Parkville6 mi153
Rosedale6 mi136
Pikesville6 mi135

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Baltimore

What are the most common crimes in Baltimore?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 6,298 a year), theft from vehicle (about 6,216 a year) and aggravated assault (about 5,259 a year). Compared with the U.S., robbery stands out most: 8.2 times the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Baltimore's figures add up its 618 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Baltimore's published incident records inform the estimate for every neighborhood.
  • 79.7% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 570,226. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Baltimore, Maryland." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/md/baltimore

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100