CrimeMetric

Crime in Raleigh, North Carolina

Major crime in Raleigh is 48% above the U.S. rate per resident: 23% higher for persons crimes and 1.5 times for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 5.7% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
148
48% above the U.S. rate
32% above the North Carolina rate
down 5.7% in a year
Persons crimes
123
23% above the U.S. rate
24% above the North Carolina rate
down 2.2% in a year
Property crimes
154
1.5 times the U.S. rate
34% above the North Carolina rate
down 6.3% in a year
Social disorder
159
1.6 times the U.S. rate
30% above the North Carolina rate
down 2.8% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Raleigh

Crime by type

Weapons violations stand out most, at 2.9 times the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Raleigh for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

Persons crimes

Robbery155350
Murder11822

Property crimes

Shoplifting1873,132
Burglary1361,174

Social disorder

Trespassing1571,938
Intimidation1291,542
Vandalism481,036

How crime varies across Raleigh

The middle half of Raleigh residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 53 and 163; the typical (median) resident's is 89. The citywide figure (148) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of Raleigh, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Tap one to compare it. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5022.9%
  • 50–10032.2%
  • 100–20025.7%
  • 200–40012.7%
  • 400+6.6%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on Friday and Saturday nights

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm143
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am148
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm150
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am162
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 5.7% in a year; across North Carolina it fell 9.0%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-5.7%NC -9.0%-6.1%NC -9.2%
Persons crimes-2.2%NC -4.5%+3.7%NC +2.7%
Property crimes-6.3%NC -9.9%-7.8%NC -11.5%
Social disorder-2.8%NC -6.8%-0.3%NC -3.7%

Change in expected crimes, with North Carolina as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Raleigh against U.S. places with 500,000 to 1 million residents

21 of the 25 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Raleigh; the middle of the group is 190. The 9 nearest in population:

Albuquerque, NM561,025257
Kansas City, MO526,442251
Atlanta, GA540,663208
Milwaukee, WI562,991190
Fresno, CA564,443188
Tucson, AZ553,071172
Sacramento, CA531,578151
Raleigh, NC526,475148
Mesa, AZ514,22883

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Raleigh has a higher major-crime index than 7 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Knightdale (8 mi), is 42% below Raleigh's rate.

Garner10 mi180
Raleigh148
Morrisville12 mi138
Wendell14 mi51
Cary11 mi49
Apex16 mi44
Rolesville11 mi25

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Raleigh

What are the most common crimes in Raleigh?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are shoplifting (about 3,132 a year), other larceny (about 2,928 a year) and theft from vehicle (about 2,693 a year). Compared with the U.S., weapons violations stands out most: 2.9 times the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Raleigh's figures add up its 275 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Raleigh's published incident records inform the estimate for every neighborhood.
  • 62.7% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 526,475. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Raleigh, North Carolina." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/nc/raleigh

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100