CrimeMetric

Crime in Potomac, Maryland

Major crime in Potomac is 25% below the U.S. rate per resident: 78% lower for persons crimes and 13% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 14.5% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
76
25% below the U.S. rate
35% below the Maryland rate
down 14.5% in a year
Persons crimes
22
78% below the U.S. rate
79% below the Maryland rate
down 17.0% in a year
Property crimes
87
13% below the U.S. rate
26% below the Maryland rate
down 14.4% in a year
Social disorder
24
76% below the U.S. rate
73% below the Maryland rate
down 8.4% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Potomac

Crime by type

Shoplifting stands out most, at 1.9 times the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Potomac for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Potomac

The middle half of Potomac residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 20 and 51; the typical (median) resident's is 23. The citywide figure (76) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of Potomac, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Tap one to compare it. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5072.8%
  • 50–10021.9%
  • 100–2000.0%
  • 200–4002.8%
  • 400+2.6%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weeknights

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm18
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am155
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm18
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am127
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 14.5% in a year; across Maryland it fell 10.0%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-14.5%MD -10.0%-13.6%MD -12.7%
Persons crimes-17.0%MD -9.9%-3.5%MD -5.4%
Property crimes-14.4%MD -10.0%-14.2%MD -14.1%
Social disorder-8.4%MD -7.6%-4.5%MD -6.6%

Change in expected crimes, with Maryland as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Potomac against U.S. places with 25,000 to 50,000 residents

490 of the 960 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Potomac; the middle of the group is 77. The 9 nearest in population:

Salina, KS46,032139
Brea, CA46,284135
Potomac, MD46,27476
Keller, TX46,15833
San Luis, AZ46,32132

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Potomac has a higher major-crime index than 4 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, North Bethesda (4 mi), is 1.5 times Potomac's rate.

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Potomac

What are the most common crimes in Potomac?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are shoplifting (about 280 a year), theft from vehicle (about 110 a year) and other larceny (about 104 a year). Compared with the U.S., shoplifting stands out most: 1.9 times the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Potomac's figures add up its 28 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Potomac's published incident records inform the estimate for every neighborhood.
  • 8.3% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 46,274. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Potomac, Maryland." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/md/potomac

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100