CrimeMetric

Crime in Holly Springs, North Carolina

Major crime in Holly Springs is 70% below the U.S. rate per resident: 81% lower for persons crimes and 68% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 12.9% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
30
70% below the U.S. rate
73% below the North Carolina rate
down 12.9% in a year
Persons crimes
19
81% below the U.S. rate
81% below the North Carolina rate
down 5.4% in a year
Property crimes
32
68% below the U.S. rate
72% below the North Carolina rate
down 13.7% in a year
Social disorder
38
62% below the U.S. rate
69% below the North Carolina rate
down 10.6% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

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Crime by type

Every crime type in Holly Springs is near or below the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Holly Springs for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Holly Springs

The middle half of Holly Springs residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 16 and 23; the typical (median) resident's is 17. The citywide figure (30) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of Holly Springs, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Tap one to compare it. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5086.4%
  • 50–1005.1%
  • 100–2008.5%
  • 200–4000.0%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weeknights

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm29
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am32
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm30
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am28
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 12.9% in a year; across North Carolina it fell 9.0%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-12.9%NC -9.0%-2.7%NC -9.2%
Persons crimes-5.4%NC -4.5%+13.1%NC +2.7%
Property crimes-13.7%NC -9.9%-4.8%NC -11.5%
Social disorder-10.6%NC -6.8%+3.7%NC -3.7%

Change in expected crimes, with North Carolina as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Holly Springs against U.S. places with 25,000 to 50,000 residents

915 of the 960 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Holly Springs; the middle of the group is 77. The 9 nearest in population:

Cerritos, CA45,891229
Salina, KS46,032139
Lathrop, CA45,96785
Salem, MA45,87364
Keller, TX46,15833
Holly Springs, NC46,04230

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Holly Springs has a lower major-crime index than all of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Apex (5 mi), is 48% above Holly Springs's rate.

Garner13 mi180
Raleigh17 mi148
Morrisville12 mi138
Chapel Hill22 mi138
Pittsboro19 mi105
Cary9 mi49
Apex5 mi44
Holly Springs30

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Holly Springs

What are the most common crimes in Holly Springs?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 75 a year), theft from vehicle (about 47 a year) and shoplifting (about 46 a year). Compared with the U.S., murder stands out most: 42% below the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Holly Springs's figures add up its 10 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Holly Springs has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 39.7% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 46,042. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Holly Springs, North Carolina." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/nc/holly-springs

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100