CrimeMetric

Crime in Midland, Michigan

Major crime in Midland is 72% below the U.S. rate per resident: 66% lower for persons crimes and 73% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 12.1% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
28
72% below the U.S. rate
70% below the Michigan rate
down 12.1% in a year
Persons crimes
34
66% below the U.S. rate
75% below the Michigan rate
down 9.0% in a year
Property crimes
27
73% below the U.S. rate
68% below the Michigan rate
down 12.9% in a year
Social disorder
44
56% below the U.S. rate
55% below the Michigan rate
down 5.9% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

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Crime by type

Every crime type in Midland is near or below the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Midland for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Midland

The middle half of Midland residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 14 and 33; the typical (median) resident's is 23. The citywide figure (28) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of Midland, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Tap one to compare it. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5086.9%
  • 50–10011.9%
  • 100–2001.2%
  • 200–4000.0%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weekdays, day and night

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm29
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am29
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm26
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am25
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 12.1% in a year; across Michigan it fell 6.1%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-12.1%MI -6.1%-13.1%MI -11.8%
Persons crimes-9.0%MI -1.8%-0.7%MI -1.3%
Property crimes-12.9%MI -7.5%-16.6%MI -15.5%
Social disorder-5.9%MI -2.9%-4.0%MI -5.4%

Change in expected crimes, with Michigan as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Midland against U.S. places with 25,000 to 50,000 residents

920 of the 960 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Midland; the middle of the group is 77. The 9 nearest in population:

Lynnwood, WA43,043294
Benton, AR42,902129
Stanton, CA42,76096
Canton, GA42,98636
Bluffton, SC42,86731
Midland, MI42,90428

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Midland has a lower major-crime index than all of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Shields (17 mi), is 2.2 times Midland's rate.

Saginaw20 mi253
Buena Vista23 mi158
Bay City17 mi114
Bridgeport24 mi108
Shields17 mi62
St. Louis24 mi39
Essexville20 mi33
Midland28

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Midland

What are the most common crimes in Midland?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 63 a year), shoplifting (about 46 a year) and aggravated assault (about 33 a year). Compared with the U.S., simple assault stands out most: 14% below the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Midland's figures add up its 35 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Midland's published incident records inform the estimate for every neighborhood.
  • 0.0% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 42,904. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Midland, Michigan." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/mi/midland

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100