Crime in Saginaw, Michigan
Major crime in Saginaw is 2.5 times the U.S. rate per resident: 7.3 times for persons crimes and 47% higher for property crimes. Expected major crimes are up 2.8% from a year earlier.
Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this
Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.
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Aggravated assault stands out most, at 8.9 times the U.S. rate
Expected crimes per year in Saginaw for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.
Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live
Property crimes
Social disorder
How crime varies across Saginaw
The middle half of Saginaw residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 156 and 271; the typical (median) resident's is 214. The citywide figure (253) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.
- 0–500.0%
- 50–1004.3%
- 100–20044.4%
- 200–40039.0%
- 400+12.3%
Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.
Highest at night
Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.
Major crime rose 2.8% in a year; across Michigan it fell 6.1%
Change in expected crimes, with Michigan as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.
Saginaw against U.S. places with 25,000 to 50,000 residents
20 of the 960 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Saginaw; the middle of the group is 77. The 9 nearest in population:
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.
Saginaw has a higher major-crime index than all of its 8 nearest neighbors
The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Buena Vista (3 mi), is 38% below Saginaw's rate.
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.
Questions about crime in Saginaw
What are the most common crimes in Saginaw?
By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are aggravated assault (about 873 a year), other larceny (about 454 a year) and burglary (about 176 a year). Compared with the U.S., aggravated assault stands out most: 8.9 times the U.S. rate per resident.
How we calculated this
Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Saginaw's figures add up its 56 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.
- Saginaw's published incident records inform the estimate for every neighborhood.
- 54.3% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
- Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
- Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
- Residents: 42,577. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2
Full method and validation·Data sources
CrimeMetric. "Crime in Saginaw, Michigan." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/mi/saginaw
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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100
- Buena Vista3 mi158
- Bridgeport4 mi108
- Shields6 mi62
- Frankenmuth12 mi57
- Bay City12 mi114
- Essexville14 mi33
- Midland20 mi28
- Flushing25 mi31