CrimeMetric

Crime in Waterford, Michigan

Updated ·Vorp Labs

The model puts major crime in Waterford at 44% below the U.S. rate per resident: 25% lower for persons crimes and 48% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are up 7.3% from a year earlier.

Where these numbers come from

The estimates start from what police agencies report to the FBI, modeled across Waterford's 64 census block groups for 70,561 residents. How Michigan residents' crime totals reach the FBI: detailed incident reports for 97.5%, summary counts only for 0.6% and estimates from past reports or similar agencies for 1.9% (shares of 2020 residents). Sources · Method

Why other sites show different numbers for Waterford:
  • Year: many show an agency's last full FBI year (often two years back). These figures are the model's estimate for the current year, release 2026-11-10.
  • Crimes counted: some add simple assault, vandalism or drug offenses to "violent" or "property" crime; here major crime is persons plus property crime, and social disorder is separate.
  • Area: an agency's totals cover its jurisdiction, which can differ from the city's limits; these are summed over the block groups inside Waterford.
  • Scale: a grade or a 1-to-100 score ranks places against each other; a rate per 1,000 residents and an index against the U.S. rate don't.
Major crime
9.7
per 1,000 residents a year
Index 57: 44% below the U.S. rate
39% below the Michigan rate
up 7.3% in a year
Persons crimes
2.4
per 1,000 residents a year
Index 76: 25% below the U.S. rate
43% below the Michigan rate
about flat in a year
Property crimes
7.3
per 1,000 residents a year
Index 52: 48% below the U.S. rate
38% below the Michigan rate
up 9.5% in a year
Social disorder
16.1
per 1,000 residents a year
Index 70: 30% below the U.S. rate
29% below the Michigan rate
up 5.1% in a year

Rates are the model's estimates of reported crime per 1,000 residents a year. Index: 100 is the U.S. rate per resident; 200 is twice it. How we calculated this

How crime varies across Waterford

Half of residents live where the major-crime index is between 28 and 65.

Map of Waterford, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Pale gray: under 100 residents. Tap one to compare.
  • 0–5060.0%
  • 50–10030.8%
  • 100–2008.1%
  • 200–4001.1%
  • 400+0.0%

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Crime by type

Intimidation stands out most, at 44% above the U.S. rate

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year
When it happens

About the same at every time of week

100 is the U.S. rate, same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm57
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am56
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm59
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am56
Trend and outlook

Expected major crime rose 7.3% in a year; across Michigan it fell 6.1%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime+7.3%MI -6.1%-13.3%MI -11.8%
Persons crimes+0.9%MI -1.8%-1.5%MI -1.3%
Property crimes+9.5%MI -7.5%-17.1%MI -15.5%
Social disorder+5.1%MI -2.9%-5.7%MI -5.4%

Change in the model's expected crimes, not a count of reports; Michigan in gray. 2031 is a model projection, not tested against past years.

Similar-size places

Waterford against U.S. places with 50,000 to 100,000 residents

422 of the 580 other places of this size have a major-crime index at least 15% above Waterford's, and 77 are within 15% of it; the middle of the group is 91. The 9 nearest in population:

Dothan, AL70,414184
Weston, FL70,789123
Lafayette, IN70,671110
Portland, ME70,53187
Waterford, MI70,56157
Madison, AL70,86051

U.S. = 100. Residents in gray.

Nearby places

Waterford's major-crime index is higher than 6 and lower than 2 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The closest, Keego Harbor (4 mi), is 32% below Waterford's rate.

Pontiac5 mi136
Waterford57
Commerce8 mi33
Orion9 mi20

U.S. = 100. Miles between population centers.

Questions about crime in Waterford

Is Waterford safe?

Waterford's major-crime index is 57, 44% below the U.S. rate per resident and lower than 45% of the 343 other Michigan places on CrimeMetric: violent crimes against people are 25% below the U.S. rate, and property crimes 48% below the U.S. rate.

What is the crime rate in Waterford?

The model expects about 685 major crimes a year in Waterford, about 9.7 per 1,000 residents, 44% below the U.S. rate.

Is crime going up or down in Waterford?

Expected major crimes in Waterford are up 7.3% from a year earlier; across Michigan they're down 6.1%.

What are the most common crimes in Waterford?

By the model's expected count, the most common crimes against people and property are other larceny (about 190 a year), aggravated assault (about 141 a year) and shoplifting (about 135 a year).

Are car break-ins common in Waterford?

The model expects about 85 thefts from vehicles a year in Waterford, 55% below the U.S. rate per resident.

Are car thefts common in Waterford?

The model expects about 46 motor vehicle thefts a year in Waterford, 59% below the U.S. rate per resident.

Is Waterford safe at night?

The model's major-crime index is 56 on Sunday to Thursday nights from 6pm to 6am, against 59 at its highest in the daytime; 100 is the U.S. rate for the same hours. That's a citywide estimate per resident for those hours: it can't speak to a particular street, venue or evening. For one address, use the address lookup on this page.

Is crime in Waterford higher than the Michigan average?

Waterford's major-crime index is 57, 39% below the Michigan rate per resident. Michigan as a whole is 93, where 100 is the U.S. rate.

How does crime in Waterford compare with Keego Harbor?

Keego Harbor, 4 miles away, has a major-crime index of 39, 32% below Waterford's rate per resident. Waterford's is 57.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI or estimated where it didn't report, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Waterford's figures add up its 64 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Waterford has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 70,561. Model updated Nov 10, 2026. Release 2026-11-10

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Waterford, Michigan." Vorp Labs, updated November 9, 2026 (model Nov 10, 2026). https://crimemetric.com/mi/waterford

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100