Crime in Town of Tonawanda, New York
Updated ·Vorp Labs
The model puts major crime in Town of Tonawanda at 13% below the U.S. rate per resident: 61% lower for persons crimes and about the same for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 27.0% from a year earlier.
- Modeled from FBI crime data for the police agencies serving Town of Tonawanda. Where an agency didn't report to the FBI, its totals are estimated from its past reports or similar agencies.
- The model estimates about 15.0 major crimes per 1,000 residents a year (1.2 violent, 13.8 property), against 17.2 for the U.S.
- By the model's major-crime rate per resident, Town of Tonawanda is higher than 68% of the 482 other New York places and 56% of the 8,446 other places nationwide on CrimeMetric.
Where these numbers come from
The estimates start from what police agencies report to the FBI, modeled across Town of Tonawanda's 74 census block groups for 70,711 residents. How New York residents' crime totals reach the FBI: detailed incident reports for 74.9%, summary counts only for 17.9% and estimates from past reports or similar agencies for 7.2% (shares of 2020 residents). Sources · Method
- Year: many show an agency's last full FBI year (often two years back). These figures are the model's estimate for the current year, release 2026-11-10.
- Crimes counted: some add simple assault, vandalism or drug offenses to "violent" or "property" crime; here major crime is persons plus property crime, and social disorder is separate.
- Area: an agency's totals cover its jurisdiction, which can differ from the city's limits; these are summed over the block groups inside Town of Tonawanda.
- Scale: a grade or a 1-to-100 score ranks places against each other; a rate per 1,000 residents and an index against the U.S. rate don't.
Rates are the model's estimates of reported crime per 1,000 residents a year. Index: 100 is the U.S. rate per resident; 200 is twice it. How we calculated this
How crime varies across Town of Tonawanda
Half of residents live where the major-crime index is between 53 and 101.
- 0–5018.4%
- 50–10055.2%
- 100–20022.4%
- 200–4004.0%
- 400+0.0%
Check an address in Town of Tonawanda
Other larceny stands out most, at 33% above the U.S. rate
Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live
Property crimes
Social disorder
Highest on weeknights
100 is the U.S. rate, same hours.
Expected major crime fell 27.0% in a year; across New York it fell 8.7%
Change in the model's expected crimes, not a count of reports; New York in gray. 2031 is a model projection, not tested against past years.
Town of Tonawanda against U.S. places with 50,000 to 100,000 residents
239 of the 580 other places of this size have a major-crime index at least 15% above Town of Tonawanda's, and 123 are within 15% of it; the middle of the group is 91. The 9 nearest in population:
U.S. = 100. Residents in gray.
Town of Tonawanda's major-crime index is higher than 1, lower than 4 and within 15% of 3 of its 8 nearest neighbors
The closest, Tonawanda Town (under 1 mi), is about Town of Tonawanda's rate.
U.S. = 100. Miles between population centers.
Questions about crime in Town of Tonawanda
Is Town of Tonawanda safe?
Town of Tonawanda's major-crime index is 87, 13% below the U.S. rate per resident and higher than 68% of the 482 other New York places on CrimeMetric: violent crimes against people are 61% below the U.S. rate, and property crimes about the U.S. rate.
What is the crime rate in Town of Tonawanda?
The model expects about 1,061 major crimes a year in Town of Tonawanda, about 15.0 per 1,000 residents, 13% below the U.S. rate.
Is crime going up or down in Town of Tonawanda?
Expected major crimes in Town of Tonawanda are down 27.0% from a year earlier; across New York they're down 8.7%.
What are the most common crimes in Town of Tonawanda?
By the model's expected count, the most common crimes against people and property are other larceny (about 469 a year), theft from vehicle (about 178 a year) and shoplifting (about 132 a year).
Are car break-ins common in Town of Tonawanda?
The model expects about 178 thefts from vehicles a year in Town of Tonawanda, 5% below the U.S. rate per resident.
Are car thefts common in Town of Tonawanda?
The model expects about 130 motor vehicle thefts a year in Town of Tonawanda, 15% above the U.S. rate per resident.
Is Town of Tonawanda safe at night?
The model's major-crime index is 99 on Sunday to Thursday nights from 6pm to 6am, against 82 at its highest in the daytime; 100 is the U.S. rate for the same hours. That's a citywide estimate per resident for those hours: it can't speak to a particular street, venue or evening. For one address, use the address lookup on this page.
Is crime in Town of Tonawanda higher than the New York average?
Town of Tonawanda's major-crime index is 87, 18% below the New York rate per resident. New York as a whole is 106, where 100 is the U.S. rate.
How does crime in Town of Tonawanda compare with Tonawanda Town?
Tonawanda Town, under a mile away, has a major-crime index of 88, about Town of Tonawanda's rate per resident. Town of Tonawanda's is 87.
How we calculated this
Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI or estimated where it didn't report, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Town of Tonawanda's figures add up its 74 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.
- Town of Tonawanda has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
- Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
- Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
- Residents: 70,711. Model updated Nov 10, 2026. Release 2026-11-10
Full method and validation·Data sources
CrimeMetric. "Crime in Town of Tonawanda, New York." Vorp Labs, updated November 9, 2026 (model Nov 10, 2026). https://crimemetric.com/ny/town-of-tonawanda
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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100
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