CrimeMetric

Crime in Cottage Grove, Minnesota

Major crime in Cottage Grove is 61% below the U.S. rate per resident: 80% lower for persons crimes and 56% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are about flat from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
39
61% below the U.S. rate
59% below the Minnesota rate
about flat in a year
Persons crimes
20
80% below the U.S. rate
72% below the Minnesota rate
up 5.0% in a year
Property crimes
44
56% below the U.S. rate
57% below the Minnesota rate
about flat in a year
Social disorder
29
71% below the U.S. rate
58% below the Minnesota rate
up 8.0% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

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Crime by type

Every crime type in Cottage Grove is near or below the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Cottage Grove for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Cottage Grove

The middle half of Cottage Grove residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 14 and 32; the typical (median) resident's is 17. The citywide figure (39) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of Cottage Grove, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Tap one to compare it. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5087.2%
  • 50–1006.0%
  • 100–2000.0%
  • 200–4006.8%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weekday daytimes

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm54
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am26
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm42
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am24
Trend and outlook

Major crime rose 0.4% in a year; across Minnesota it fell 1.8%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime+0.4%MN -1.8%-5.1%MN -13.1%
Persons crimes+5.0%MN -1.1%+9.3%MN -2.7%
Property crimes0.0%MN -1.9%-6.6%MN -14.8%
Social disorder+8.0%MN -0.6%+1.9%MN -7.4%

Change in expected crimes, with Minnesota as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Cottage Grove against U.S. places with 25,000 to 50,000 residents

824 of the 960 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Cottage Grove; the middle of the group is 77. The 9 nearest in population:

Manassas, VA44,94186
Concord, NH44,67683
Woburn, MA44,97459
Hutto, TX44,68343
Cottage Grove, MN44,81639

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Cottage Grove has a lower major-crime index than all of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, St. Paul Park (3 mi), is 5% above Cottage Grove's rate.

Woodbury6 mi73
Hastings8 mi50
Newport4 mi41
Cottage Grove39

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Cottage Grove

What are the most common crimes in Cottage Grove?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are shoplifting (about 126 a year), other larceny (about 73 a year) and theft from vehicle (about 41 a year). Compared with the U.S., shoplifting stands out most: 12% below the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Cottage Grove's figures add up its 25 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Cottage Grove's published incident records inform the estimate for every neighborhood.
  • 7.5% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 44,816. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Cottage Grove, Minnesota." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/mn/cottage-grove

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100