Crime in Manassas, Virginia
Major crime in Manassas is 14% below the U.S. rate per resident: about the same for persons crimes and 17% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 8.4% from a year earlier.
Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this
Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.
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Simple assault stands out most, at 1.9 times the U.S. rate
Expected crimes per year in Manassas for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.
Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live
Property crimes
Social disorder
How crime varies across Manassas
The middle half of Manassas residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 36 and 109; the typical (median) resident's is 67. The citywide figure (86) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.
- 0–5037.3%
- 50–10036.2%
- 100–20024.2%
- 200–4000.0%
- 400+2.4%
Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.
Highest at night
Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.
Major crime fell 8.4% in a year; across Virginia it fell 8.5%
Change in expected crimes, with Virginia as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.
Manassas against U.S. places with 25,000 to 50,000 residents
417 of the 960 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Manassas; the middle of the group is 77. The 9 nearest in population:
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.
Manassas has a higher major-crime index than 5 of its 8 nearest neighbors
The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Manassas Park (2 mi), is 60% below Manassas's rate.
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.
Questions about crime in Manassas
What are the most common crimes in Manassas?
By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 168 a year), shoplifting (about 145 a year) and theft from vehicle (about 127 a year). Compared with the U.S., simple assault stands out most: 1.9 times the U.S. rate per resident.
How we calculated this
Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Manassas's figures add up its 26 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.
- Manassas's published incident records inform the estimate for every neighborhood.
- 50.8% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
- Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
- Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
- Residents: 44,941. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2
Full method and validation·Data sources
CrimeMetric. "Crime in Manassas, Virginia." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/va/manassas
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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100
- Manassas Park2 mi35
- Buckhall2 mi46
- Loch Lomond2 mi49
- Sudley3 mi94
- Yorkshire3 mi112
- Bull Run4 mi177
- Linton Hall5 mi39
- Centreville6 mi43