CrimeMetric

Crime in South St. Paul, Minnesota

Major crime in South St. Paul is 21% below the U.S. rate per resident: 53% lower for persons crimes and 14% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 8.6% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
79
21% below the U.S. rate
18% below the Minnesota rate
down 8.6% in a year
Persons crimes
47
53% below the U.S. rate
35% below the Minnesota rate
down 5.4% in a year
Property crimes
86
14% below the U.S. rate
15% below the Minnesota rate
down 8.9% in a year
Social disorder
65
35% below the U.S. rate
7% below the Minnesota rate
down 7.0% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in South St. Paul

Crime by type

Weapons violations and theft from vehicle stand out most, at about 32% above the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in South St. Paul for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across South St. Paul

The middle half of South St. Paul residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 44 and 91; the typical (median) resident's is 60. The citywide figure (79) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of South St. Paul, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5028.4%
  • 50–10053.8%
  • 100–20017.8%
  • 200–4000.0%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weekday daytimes

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm112
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am50
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm84
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am43
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 8.6% in a year; across Minnesota it fell 1.8%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-8.6%MN -1.8%-14.5%MN -13.1%
Persons crimes-5.4%MN -1.1%-2.1%MN -2.7%
Property crimes-8.9%MN -1.9%-16.1%MN -14.8%
Social disorder-7.0%MN -0.6%-10.6%MN -7.4%

Change in expected crimes, with Minnesota as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

South St. Paul against U.S. places with 10,000 to 25,000 residents

970 of the 2,149 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than South St. Paul; the middle of the group is 72. The 9 nearest in population:

Anniston, AL20,364221
Sidney, OH20,37689
Minneola, FL20,37586
South St. Paul, MN20,38979
Menasha, WI20,45335
Baldwin, PA20,38421

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

South St. Paul has a higher major-crime index than 6 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, West St. Paul (2 mi), is 2.8 times South St. Paul's rate.

St. Paul5 mi194
South St. Paul79
Woodbury6 mi73
Newport3 mi41

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in South St. Paul

What are the most common crimes in South St. Paul?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 114 a year), theft from vehicle (about 71 a year) and burglary (about 26 a year). Compared with the U.S., weapons violations stands out most: 32% above the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. South St. Paul's figures add up its 20 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • South St. Paul's published incident records inform the estimate for every neighborhood.
  • 0.0% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 20,389. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in South St. Paul, Minnesota." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/mn/south-st-paul

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100