Crime in Buffalo, Missouri
Major crime in Buffalo is 68% below the U.S. rate per resident: 58% lower for persons crimes and 70% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 7.8% from a year earlier.
Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this
Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.
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Every crime type in Buffalo is near or below the U.S. rate
Expected crimes per year in Buffalo for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.
Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live
Property crimes
Social disorder
Neighborhoods in Buffalo
Buffalo is made up of 4 census block groups. The typical resident lives where the major-crime index is 34; the middle half of residents live where it is between 34 and 36.
- 0–50100.0%
- 50–1000.0%
- 100–2000.0%
- 200–4000.0%
- 400+0.0%
Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.
Highest on weekend daytimes
Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.
Major crime fell 7.8% in a year; across Missouri it fell 11.3%
Change in expected crimes, with Missouri as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.
Buffalo against U.S. places with 5,000 to 10,000 residents
1,836 of the 2,163 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Buffalo; the middle of the group is 63. The 9 nearest in population:
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.
Buffalo has a lower major-crime index than all of its 8 nearest neighbors
The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Bolivar (18 mi), is 2.5 times Buffalo's rate.
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.
Questions about crime in Buffalo
What are the most common crimes in Buffalo?
By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 10 a year), shoplifting (about 6 a year) and aggravated assault (about 5 a year). Compared with the U.S., rape / sexual assault stands out most: 33% below the U.S. rate per resident.
How we calculated this
Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Buffalo's figures add up its 4 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.
- Buffalo has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
- 0.0% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
- Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
- Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
- Residents: 5,309. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2
Full method and validation·Data sources
CrimeMetric. "Crime in Buffalo, Missouri." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/mo/buffalo
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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100
- Bolivar18 mi82
- Marshfield23 mi130
- Lebanon24 mi103
- Willard30 mi35
- Camdenton32 mi102
- Springfield33 mi272
- Stockton38 mi36
- Battlefield39 mi45