Crime in Springfield, Virginia
Major crime in Springfield is 1.5 times the U.S. rate per resident: 42% lower for persons crimes and 1.8 times for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 16.1% from a year earlier.
Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this
Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.
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Shoplifting stands out most, at 5.0 times the U.S. rate
Expected crimes per year in Springfield for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.
Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live
Property crimes
Social disorder
How crime varies across Springfield
The middle half of Springfield residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 29 and 189; the typical (median) resident's is 46. The citywide figure (155) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.
- 0–5054.4%
- 50–10012.2%
- 100–20010.7%
- 200–40018.7%
- 400+4.0%
Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.
Highest on weekend daytimes
Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.
Major crime fell 16.1% in a year; across Virginia it fell 8.5%
Change in expected crimes, with Virginia as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.
Springfield against U.S. places with 25,000 to 50,000 residents
125 of the 960 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Springfield; the middle of the group is 77. The 9 nearest in population:
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.
Springfield has a higher major-crime index than all of its 8 nearest neighbors
The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Franconia (2 mi), is 67% below Springfield's rate.
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.
Questions about crime in Springfield
What are the most common crimes in Springfield?
By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are shoplifting (about 502 a year), other larceny (about 163 a year) and theft from vehicle (about 73 a year). Compared with the U.S., shoplifting stands out most: 5.0 times the U.S. rate per resident.
How we calculated this
Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Springfield's figures add up its 17 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.
- Springfield's published incident records inform the estimate for every neighborhood.
- 41.6% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
- Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
- Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
- Residents: 31,583. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2
Full method and validation·Data sources
CrimeMetric. "Crime in Springfield, Virginia." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/va/springfield
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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100
- Franconia2 mi51
- North Springfield2 mi29
- West Springfield2 mi38
- Kingstowne2 mi93
- Lincolnia3 mi104
- Newington3 mi76
- Annandale4 mi71
- Newington Forest4 mi20