Crime in Patterson, New York
Updated ·Vorp Labs
The model puts major crime in Patterson at 81% below the U.S. rate per resident: 82% lower for persons crimes and 80% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 5.1% from a year earlier.
- Modeled from FBI crime data for the police agencies serving Patterson. Where an agency didn't report to the FBI, its totals are estimated from its past reports or similar agencies.
- The model estimates about 3.3 major crimes per 1,000 residents a year (0.6 violent, 2.7 property), against 17.2 for the U.S.
- By the model's major-crime rate per resident, Patterson is lower than 97% of the 482 other New York places and 97% of the 8,446 other places nationwide on CrimeMetric.
Where these numbers come from
The estimates start from what police agencies report to the FBI, modeled across Patterson's 9 census block groups for 11,591 residents. How New York residents' crime totals reach the FBI: detailed incident reports for 74.9%, summary counts only for 17.9% and estimates from past reports or similar agencies for 7.2% (shares of 2020 residents). Sources · Method
- Year: many show an agency's last full FBI year (often two years back). These figures are the model's estimate for the current year, release 2026-11-10.
- Crimes counted: some add simple assault, vandalism or drug offenses to "violent" or "property" crime; here major crime is persons plus property crime, and social disorder is separate.
- Area: an agency's totals cover its jurisdiction, which can differ from the city's limits; these are summed over the block groups inside Patterson.
- Scale: a grade or a 1-to-100 score ranks places against each other; a rate per 1,000 residents and an index against the U.S. rate don't.
Rates are the model's estimates of reported crime per 1,000 residents a year. Index: 100 is the U.S. rate per resident; 200 is twice it. How we calculated this
How crime varies across Patterson
Half of residents live where the major-crime index is between 14 and 20.
- 0–50100.0%
- 50–1000.0%
- 100–2000.0%
- 200–4000.0%
- 400+0.0%
Check an address in Patterson
Every crime type in Patterson is near or below the U.S. rate
Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live
Social disorder
Highest on weekday daytimes
100 is the U.S. rate, same hours.
Expected major crime fell 5.1% in a year; across New York it fell 8.7%
Change in the model's expected crimes, not a count of reports; New York in gray. 2031 is a model projection, not tested against past years.
Patterson against U.S. places with 10,000 to 25,000 residents
2,398 of the 2,480 other places of this size have a major-crime index at least 15% above Patterson's, and 74 are within 15% of it; the middle of the group is 67. The 9 nearest in population:
U.S. = 100. Residents in gray.
Patterson has a lower major-crime index than all of its 8 nearest neighbors
The closest, Southeast (5 mi), is 22% above Patterson's rate.
U.S. = 100. Miles between population centers.
Questions about crime in Patterson
Is Patterson safe?
Patterson's major-crime index is 19, 81% below the U.S. rate per resident and lower than 97% of the 482 other New York places on CrimeMetric: violent crimes against people are 82% below the U.S. rate, and property crimes 80% below the U.S. rate.
What is the crime rate in Patterson?
The model expects about 39 major crimes a year in Patterson, about 3.3 per 1,000 residents, 81% below the U.S. rate.
Is crime going up or down in Patterson?
Expected major crimes in Patterson are down 5.1% from a year earlier; across New York they're down 8.7%.
What are the most common crimes in Patterson?
By the model's expected count, the most common crimes against people and property are other larceny (about 19 a year), shoplifting (about 6 a year) and aggravated assault (about 5 a year).
Are car break-ins common in Patterson?
The model expects about 2 thefts from vehicles a year in Patterson, 94% below the U.S. rate per resident.
Are car thefts common in Patterson?
The model expects about 2 motor vehicle thefts a year in Patterson, 88% below the U.S. rate per resident.
Is Patterson safe at night?
The model's major-crime index is 17 on Sunday to Thursday nights from 6pm to 6am, against 24 at its highest in the daytime; 100 is the U.S. rate for the same hours. That's a citywide estimate per resident for those hours: it can't speak to a particular street, venue or evening. For one address, use the address lookup on this page.
Is crime in Patterson higher than the New York average?
Patterson's major-crime index is 19, 82% below the New York rate per resident. New York as a whole is 106, where 100 is the U.S. rate.
How does crime in Patterson compare with Southeast?
Southeast, 5 miles away, has a major-crime index of 24, 22% above Patterson's rate per resident. Patterson's is 19.
How we calculated this
Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI or estimated where it didn't report, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Patterson's figures add up its 9 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.
- Patterson has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
- Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
- Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
- Residents: 11,591. Model updated Nov 10, 2026. Release 2026-11-10
Full method and validation·Data sources
CrimeMetric. "Crime in Patterson, New York." Vorp Labs, updated November 9, 2026 (model Nov 10, 2026). https://crimemetric.com/ny/patterson
Quote this page's aggregate figures with a link to it. Data terms
Use these numbers in your product
Any U.S. address by API or MCP, free for 10,000 lookups a month.
Get a free API keyNearest cities we publish
Major-crime index, U.S. = 100
- Southeast5 mi24
- Carmel7 mi41
- Danbury, CT8 mi43
- Brookfield, CT10 mi30
- Mahopac11 mi27
- East Fishkill12 mi25
- Yorktown17 mi30
- Town of Fishkill18 mi27