Crime in Town of Orchard Park, New York
Updated ·Vorp Labs
The model puts major crime in Town of Orchard Park at 35% above the U.S. rate per resident: 70% lower for persons crimes and 1.6 times for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 2.0% from a year earlier.
- Modeled from FBI crime data for the police agencies serving Town of Orchard Park. Where an agency didn't report to the FBI, its totals are estimated from its past reports or similar agencies.
- The model estimates about 23.1 major crimes per 1,000 residents a year (0.9 violent, 22.2 property), against 17.2 for the U.S.
- By the model's major-crime rate per resident, Town of Orchard Park is higher than 84% of the 482 other New York places and 78% of the 8,446 other places nationwide on CrimeMetric.
Where these numbers come from
The estimates start from what police agencies report to the FBI, modeled across Town of Orchard Park's 19 census block groups for 29,774 residents. How New York residents' crime totals reach the FBI: detailed incident reports for 74.9%, summary counts only for 17.9% and estimates from past reports or similar agencies for 7.2% (shares of 2020 residents). Sources · Method
- Year: many show an agency's last full FBI year (often two years back). These figures are the model's estimate for the current year, release 2026-11-10.
- Crimes counted: some add simple assault, vandalism or drug offenses to "violent" or "property" crime; here major crime is persons plus property crime, and social disorder is separate.
- Area: an agency's totals cover its jurisdiction, which can differ from the city's limits; these are summed over the block groups inside Town of Orchard Park.
- Scale: a grade or a 1-to-100 score ranks places against each other; a rate per 1,000 residents and an index against the U.S. rate don't.
Rates are the model's estimates of reported crime per 1,000 residents a year. Index: 100 is the U.S. rate per resident; 200 is twice it. How we calculated this
How crime varies across Town of Orchard Park
Half of residents live where the major-crime index is between 46 and 149.
- 0–5035.7%
- 50–10032.2%
- 100–20014.8%
- 200–40011.2%
- 400+6.1%
Check an address in Town of Orchard Park
Other larceny stands out most, at 2.8 times the U.S. rate
Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live
Property crimes
Social disorder
Highest on weeknights
100 is the U.S. rate, same hours.
Expected major crime fell 2.0% in a year; across New York it fell 8.7%
Change in the model's expected crimes, not a count of reports; New York in gray. 2031 is a model projection, not tested against past years.
Town of Orchard Park against U.S. places with 25,000 to 50,000 residents
136 of the 1,120 other places of this size have a major-crime index at least 15% above Town of Orchard Park's, and 113 are within 15% of it; the middle of the group is 73. The 9 nearest in population:
U.S. = 100. Residents in gray.
Town of Orchard Park's major-crime index is higher than 6, lower than 1 and within 15% of 1 of its 8 nearest neighbors
The closest, Orchard Park (under 1 mi), is 20% below Town of Orchard Park's rate.
U.S. = 100. Miles between population centers.
Questions about crime in Town of Orchard Park
Is Town of Orchard Park safe?
Town of Orchard Park's major-crime index is 135, 35% above the U.S. rate per resident and higher than 84% of the 482 other New York places on CrimeMetric: violent crimes against people are 70% below the U.S. rate, and property crimes 1.6 times the U.S. rate.
What is the crime rate in Town of Orchard Park?
The model expects about 688 major crimes a year in Town of Orchard Park, about 23.1 per 1,000 residents, 35% above the U.S. rate.
Is crime going up or down in Town of Orchard Park?
Expected major crimes in Town of Orchard Park are down 2.0% from a year earlier; across New York they're down 8.7%.
What are the most common crimes in Town of Orchard Park?
By the model's expected count, the most common crimes against people and property are other larceny (about 409 a year), shoplifting (about 111 a year) and theft from vehicle (about 63 a year).
Are car break-ins common in Town of Orchard Park?
The model expects about 63 thefts from vehicles a year in Town of Orchard Park, 21% below the U.S. rate per resident.
Are car thefts common in Town of Orchard Park?
The model expects about 41 motor vehicle thefts a year in Town of Orchard Park, 14% below the U.S. rate per resident.
Is Town of Orchard Park safe at night?
The model's major-crime index is 153 on Sunday to Thursday nights from 6pm to 6am, against 135 at its highest in the daytime; 100 is the U.S. rate for the same hours. That's a citywide estimate per resident for those hours: it can't speak to a particular street, venue or evening. For one address, use the address lookup on this page.
Is crime in Town of Orchard Park higher than the New York average?
Town of Orchard Park's major-crime index is 135, 26% above the New York rate per resident. New York as a whole is 106, where 100 is the U.S. rate.
How does crime in Town of Orchard Park compare with Orchard Park?
Orchard Park, under a mile away, has a major-crime index of 108, 20% below Town of Orchard Park's rate per resident. Town of Orchard Park's is 135.
How we calculated this
Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI or estimated where it didn't report, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Town of Orchard Park's figures add up its 19 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.
- Town of Orchard Park has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
- Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
- Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
- Residents: 29,774. Model updated Nov 10, 2026. Release 2026-11-10
Full method and validation·Data sources
CrimeMetric. "Crime in Town of Orchard Park, New York." Vorp Labs, updated November 9, 2026 (model Nov 10, 2026). https://crimemetric.com/ny/town-of-orchard-park
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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100
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