CrimeMetric

Crime in North Tonawanda, New York

Major crime in North Tonawanda is 33% below the U.S. rate per resident: 60% lower for persons crimes and 27% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 15.0% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
67
33% below the U.S. rate
37% below the New York rate
down 15.0% in a year
Persons crimes
40
60% below the U.S. rate
64% below the New York rate
down 22.1% in a year
Property crimes
73
27% below the U.S. rate
31% below the New York rate
down 14.0% in a year
Social disorder
61
39% below the U.S. rate
41% below the New York rate
down 20.0% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in North Tonawanda

Crime by type

No crime type in North Tonawanda is more than 10% above the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in North Tonawanda for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across North Tonawanda

The middle half of North Tonawanda residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 38 and 88; the typical (median) resident's is 59.

Map of North Tonawanda, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Tap one to compare it. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5045.7%
  • 50–10044.0%
  • 100–2009.0%
  • 200–4000.0%
  • 400+1.3%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

About the same at every time of week

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm68
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am66
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm65
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am66
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 15.0% in a year; across New York it fell 8.7%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-15.0%NY -8.7%-16.6%NY -14.4%
Persons crimes-22.1%NY -7.0%-4.3%NY -7.2%
Property crimes-14.0%NY -9.0%-18.0%NY -16.1%
Social disorder-20.0%NY -5.2%-9.9%NY -6.7%

Change in expected crimes, with New York as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

North Tonawanda against U.S. places with 25,000 to 50,000 residents

556 of the 960 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than North Tonawanda; the middle of the group is 77. The 9 nearest in population:

Lafayette, CO29,640124
Katy, TX29,70199
Danvers, MA29,65588
Yukon, OK29,64476
North Tonawanda, NY29,72267
Shirley, NY29,78242

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

North Tonawanda has a lower major-crime index than all of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Tonawanda (2 mi), is 17% above North Tonawanda's rate.

Buffalo9 mi260
Kenmore6 mi84
Tonawanda2 mi78
North Tonawanda67

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in North Tonawanda

What are the most common crimes in North Tonawanda?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 157 a year), theft from vehicle (about 51 a year) and shoplifting (about 45 a year). Compared with the U.S., other larceny stands out most: 6% above the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. North Tonawanda's figures add up its 21 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • North Tonawanda has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 8.1% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 29,722. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in North Tonawanda, New York." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/ny/north-tonawanda

Use these numbers in your product

Any U.S. address by API or MCP, free for 10,000 lookups a month.

Get a free API key

Nearest cities we publish

Major-crime index, U.S. = 100