CrimeMetric

Crime in Watertown, New York

Major crime in Watertown is 2.7 times the U.S. rate per resident: 1.7 times for persons crimes and 2.9 times for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 7.6% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
268
2.7 times the U.S. rate
2.5 times the New York rate
down 7.6% in a year
Persons crimes
166
1.7 times the U.S. rate
1.5 times the New York rate
down 6.1% in a year
Property crimes
291
2.9 times the U.S. rate
2.7 times the New York rate
down 7.7% in a year
Social disorder
376
3.8 times the U.S. rate
3.6 times the New York rate
down 5.3% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

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Crime by type

Other larceny stands out most, at 6.2 times the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Watertown for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Watertown

The middle half of Watertown residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 161 and 342; the typical (median) resident's is 186. The citywide figure (268) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of Watertown, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–500.0%
  • 50–1005.0%
  • 100–20051.5%
  • 200–40026.2%
  • 400+17.3%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weekday daytimes

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm306
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am240
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm256
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am235
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 7.6% in a year; across New York it fell 8.7%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-7.6%NY -8.7%-19.4%NY -14.4%
Persons crimes-6.1%NY -7.0%-6.9%NY -7.2%
Property crimes-7.7%NY -9.0%-21.0%NY -16.1%
Social disorder-5.3%NY -5.2%-11.0%NY -6.7%

Change in expected crimes, with New York as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Watertown against U.S. places with 10,000 to 25,000 residents

40 of the 2,149 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Watertown; the middle of the group is 72. The 9 nearest in population:

Watertown, NY23,274268
Mebane, NC23,301150
Highland, IN23,29075
McNair, VA23,30365
Buckhall, VA23,27846
Hudson, OH23,23330

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Watertown has a higher major-crime index than 6 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Carthage (16 mi), is 89% below Watertown's rate.

Ogdensburg55 mi303
Gouverneur33 mi270
Watertown268
Oswego47 mi140
Rome57 mi134
Fulton52 mi67
Carthage16 mi29

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Watertown

What are the most common crimes in Watertown?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 724 a year), burglary (about 86 a year) and shoplifting (about 82 a year). Compared with the U.S., other larceny stands out most: 6.2 times the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Watertown's figures add up its 24 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Watertown has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 0.0% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 23,274. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Watertown, New York." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/ny/watertown

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100