Crime in McNair, Virginia
Major crime in McNair is 35% below the U.S. rate per resident: 61% lower for persons crimes and 29% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 17.5% from a year earlier.
Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this
Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.
Check an address in McNair
Every crime type in McNair is near or below the U.S. rate
Expected crimes per year in McNair for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.
Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live
Property crimes
Social disorder
How crime varies across McNair
The middle half of McNair residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 32 and 91; the typical (median) resident's is 45. The citywide figure (65) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.
- 0–5058.5%
- 50–10030.6%
- 100–20011.0%
- 200–4000.0%
- 400+0.0%
Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.
Highest on weeknights and on weekend daytimes
Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.
Major crime fell 17.5% in a year; across Virginia it fell 8.5%
Change in expected crimes, with Virginia as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.
McNair against U.S. places with 10,000 to 25,000 residents
1,195 of the 2,149 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than McNair; the middle of the group is 72. The 9 nearest in population:
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.
McNair has a higher major-crime index than 4 of its 8 nearest neighbors
The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Floris (1 mi), is 40% below McNair's rate.
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.
Questions about crime in McNair
What are the most common crimes in McNair?
By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 83 a year), shoplifting (about 66 a year) and theft from vehicle (about 55 a year). Compared with the U.S., simple assault stands out most: about the U.S. rate per resident.
How we calculated this
Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. McNair's figures add up its 14 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.
- McNair's published incident records inform the estimate for every neighborhood.
- 30.0% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
- Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
- Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
- Residents: 23,303. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2
Full method and validation·Data sources
CrimeMetric. "Crime in McNair, Virginia." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/va/mcnair
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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100
- Floris1 mi39
- Herndon2 mi83
- Franklin Farm3 mi31
- Reston3 mi80
- Dranesville3 mi22
- Sterling4 mi34
- Chantilly5 mi151
- Dulles Town Center5 mi162