Crime in Lower Providence, Pennsylvania
Updated ·Vorp Labs
The model puts major crime in Lower Providence at 67% below the U.S. rate per resident: 86% lower for persons crimes and 62% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 7.7% from a year earlier.
- Modeled from FBI crime data for the police agencies serving Lower Providence. Where an agency didn't report to the FBI, its totals are estimated from its past reports or similar agencies.
- The model estimates about 5.7 major crimes per 1,000 residents a year (0.4 violent, 5.3 property), against 17.2 for the U.S.
- By the model's major-crime rate per resident, Lower Providence is lower than 70% of the 478 other Pennsylvania places and 80% of the 8,446 other places nationwide on CrimeMetric.
Where these numbers come from
The estimates start from what police agencies report to the FBI, modeled across Lower Providence's 17 census block groups for 26,322 residents. How Pennsylvania residents' crime totals reach the FBI: detailed incident reports for 32.2%, summary counts only for 35.0%, estimates from past reports or similar agencies for 24.9% and no reporting agency of their own for 8.0% (shares of 2020 residents). Sources · Method
- Year: many show an agency's last full FBI year (often two years back). These figures are the model's estimate for the current year, release 2026-11-10.
- Crimes counted: some add simple assault, vandalism or drug offenses to "violent" or "property" crime; here major crime is persons plus property crime, and social disorder is separate.
- Area: an agency's totals cover its jurisdiction, which can differ from the city's limits; these are summed over the block groups inside Lower Providence.
- Scale: a grade or a 1-to-100 score ranks places against each other; a rate per 1,000 residents and an index against the U.S. rate don't.
Rates are the model's estimates of reported crime per 1,000 residents a year. Index: 100 is the U.S. rate per resident; 200 is twice it. How we calculated this
How crime varies across Lower Providence
Half of residents live where the major-crime index is between 17 and 29.
- 0–5099.9%
- 50–1000.0%
- 100–2000.0%
- 200–4000.0%
- 400+0.0%
Check an address in Lower Providence
Every crime type in Lower Providence is near or below the U.S. rate
Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live
Property crimes
Social disorder
Highest on weeknights
100 is the U.S. rate, same hours.
Expected major crime fell 7.7% in a year; across Pennsylvania it fell 8.6%
Change in the model's expected crimes, not a count of reports; Pennsylvania in gray. 2031 is a model projection, not tested against past years.
Lower Providence against U.S. places with 25,000 to 50,000 residents
943 of the 1,120 other places of this size have a major-crime index at least 15% above Lower Providence's, and 108 are within 15% of it; the middle of the group is 73. The 9 nearest in population:
U.S. = 100. Residents in gray.
Lower Providence's major-crime index is higher than 1 and lower than 7 of its 8 nearest neighbors
The closest, Trooper (1 mi), is 26% below Lower Providence's rate.
U.S. = 100. Miles between population centers.
Questions about crime in Lower Providence
Is Lower Providence safe?
Lower Providence's major-crime index is 33, 67% below the U.S. rate per resident and lower than 70% of the 478 other Pennsylvania places on CrimeMetric: violent crimes against people are 86% below the U.S. rate, and property crimes 62% below the U.S. rate.
What is the crime rate in Lower Providence?
The model expects about 151 major crimes a year in Lower Providence, about 5.7 per 1,000 residents, 67% below the U.S. rate.
Is crime going up or down in Lower Providence?
Expected major crimes in Lower Providence are down 7.7% from a year earlier; across Pennsylvania they're down 8.6%.
What are the most common crimes in Lower Providence?
By the model's expected count, the most common crimes against people and property are shoplifting (about 64 a year), other larceny (about 40 a year) and theft from vehicle (about 19 a year).
Are car break-ins common in Lower Providence?
The model expects about 19 thefts from vehicles a year in Lower Providence, 72% below the U.S. rate per resident.
Are car thefts common in Lower Providence?
The model expects about 8 motor vehicle thefts a year in Lower Providence, 81% below the U.S. rate per resident.
Is Lower Providence safe at night?
The model's major-crime index is 37 on Sunday to Thursday nights from 6pm to 6am, against 34 at its highest in the daytime; 100 is the U.S. rate for the same hours. That's a citywide estimate per resident for those hours: it can't speak to a particular street, venue or evening. For one address, use the address lookup on this page.
Is crime in Lower Providence higher than the Pennsylvania average?
Lower Providence's major-crime index is 33, 60% below the Pennsylvania rate per resident. Pennsylvania as a whole is 84, where 100 is the U.S. rate.
How does crime in Lower Providence compare with Trooper?
Trooper, 1 mile away, has a major-crime index of 25, 26% below Lower Providence's rate per resident. Lower Providence's is 33.
How we calculated this
Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI or estimated where it didn't report, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Lower Providence's figures add up its 17 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.
- Lower Providence has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
- Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
- Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
- Residents: 26,322. Model updated Nov 10, 2026. Release 2026-11-10
Full method and validation·Data sources
CrimeMetric. "Crime in Lower Providence, Pennsylvania." Vorp Labs, updated November 9, 2026 (model Nov 10, 2026). https://crimemetric.com/pa/lower-providence
Quote this page's aggregate figures with a link to it. Data terms
Use these numbers in your product
Any U.S. address by API or MCP, free for 10,000 lookups a month.
Get a free API keyNearest cities we publish
Major-crime index, U.S. = 100
- Trooper1 mi25
- Audubon1 mi51
- West Norriton3 mi97
- Collegeville3 mi41
- King of Prussia4 mi184
- Upper Merion5 mi152
- Norristown5 mi132
- East Norriton5 mi110