Crime in Lower Salford, Pennsylvania
Updated ·Vorp Labs
The model puts major crime in Lower Salford at 76% below the U.S. rate per resident: 91% lower for persons crimes and 72% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 6.4% from a year earlier.
- Modeled from FBI crime data for the police agencies serving Lower Salford. Where an agency didn't report to the FBI, its totals are estimated from its past reports or similar agencies.
- The model estimates about 4.2 major crimes per 1,000 residents a year (0.3 violent, 3.9 property), against 17.2 for the U.S.
- By the model's major-crime rate per resident, Lower Salford is lower than 85% of the 478 other Pennsylvania places and 91% of the 8,446 other places nationwide on CrimeMetric.
Where these numbers come from
The estimates start from what police agencies report to the FBI, modeled across Lower Salford's 11 census block groups for 16,639 residents. How Pennsylvania residents' crime totals reach the FBI: detailed incident reports for 32.2%, summary counts only for 35.0%, estimates from past reports or similar agencies for 24.9% and no reporting agency of their own for 8.0% (shares of 2020 residents). Sources · Method
- Year: many show an agency's last full FBI year (often two years back). These figures are the model's estimate for the current year, release 2026-11-10.
- Crimes counted: some add simple assault, vandalism or drug offenses to "violent" or "property" crime; here major crime is persons plus property crime, and social disorder is separate.
- Area: an agency's totals cover its jurisdiction, which can differ from the city's limits; these are summed over the block groups inside Lower Salford.
- Scale: a grade or a 1-to-100 score ranks places against each other; a rate per 1,000 residents and an index against the U.S. rate don't.
Rates are the model's estimates of reported crime per 1,000 residents a year. Index: 100 is the U.S. rate per resident; 200 is twice it. How we calculated this
How crime varies across Lower Salford
Half of residents live where the major-crime index is between 18 and 28.
- 0–50100.0%
- 50–1000.0%
- 100–2000.0%
- 200–4000.0%
- 400+0.0%
Check an address in Lower Salford
Every crime type in Lower Salford is near or below the U.S. rate
Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live
Property crimes
Social disorder
About the same at every time of week
100 is the U.S. rate, same hours.
Expected major crime fell 6.4% in a year; across Pennsylvania it fell 8.6%
Change in the model's expected crimes, not a count of reports; Pennsylvania in gray. 2031 is a model projection, not tested against past years.
Lower Salford against U.S. places with 10,000 to 25,000 residents
2,250 of the 2,480 other places of this size have a major-crime index at least 15% above Lower Salford's, and 160 are within 15% of it; the middle of the group is 67. The 9 nearest in population:
U.S. = 100. Residents in gray.
Lower Salford has a lower major-crime index than all of its 8 nearest neighbors
The closest, Harleysville (1 mi), is 22% above Lower Salford's rate.
U.S. = 100. Miles between population centers.
Questions about crime in Lower Salford
Is Lower Salford safe?
Lower Salford's major-crime index is 24, 76% below the U.S. rate per resident and lower than 85% of the 478 other Pennsylvania places on CrimeMetric: violent crimes against people are 91% below the U.S. rate, and property crimes 72% below the U.S. rate.
What is the crime rate in Lower Salford?
The model expects about 70 major crimes a year in Lower Salford, about 4.2 per 1,000 residents, 76% below the U.S. rate.
Is crime going up or down in Lower Salford?
Expected major crimes in Lower Salford are down 6.4% from a year earlier; across Pennsylvania they're down 8.6%.
What are the most common crimes in Lower Salford?
By the model's expected count, the most common crimes against people and property are other larceny (about 25 a year), shoplifting (about 23 a year) and theft from vehicle (about 8 a year).
Are car break-ins common in Lower Salford?
The model expects about 8 thefts from vehicles a year in Lower Salford, 81% below the U.S. rate per resident.
Are car thefts common in Lower Salford?
The model expects about 4 motor vehicle thefts a year in Lower Salford, 83% below the U.S. rate per resident.
Is Lower Salford safe at night?
The model's major-crime index is 26 on Sunday to Thursday nights from 6pm to 6am, against 25 at its highest in the daytime; 100 is the U.S. rate for the same hours. That's a citywide estimate per resident for those hours: it can't speak to a particular street, venue or evening. For one address, use the address lookup on this page.
Is crime in Lower Salford higher than the Pennsylvania average?
Lower Salford's major-crime index is 24, 71% below the Pennsylvania rate per resident. Pennsylvania as a whole is 84, where 100 is the U.S. rate.
How does crime in Lower Salford compare with Harleysville?
Harleysville, 1 mile away, has a major-crime index of 30, 22% above Lower Salford's rate per resident. Lower Salford's is 24.
How we calculated this
Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI or estimated where it didn't report, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Lower Salford's figures add up its 11 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.
- Lower Salford has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
- Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
- Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
- Residents: 16,639. Model updated Nov 10, 2026. Release 2026-11-10
Full method and validation·Data sources
CrimeMetric. "Crime in Lower Salford, Pennsylvania." Vorp Labs, updated November 9, 2026 (model Nov 10, 2026). https://crimemetric.com/pa/lower-salford
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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100
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