Crime in Swatara, Pennsylvania
Updated ·Vorp Labs
The model puts major crime in Swatara at 1.5 times the U.S. rate per resident: 51% lower for persons crimes and 1.7 times for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 11.7% from a year earlier.
- Modeled from FBI crime data for the police agencies serving Swatara and from local police incident records. Where an agency didn't report to the FBI, its totals are estimated from its past reports or similar agencies.
- The model estimates about 26.0 major crimes per 1,000 residents a year (1.5 violent, 24.5 property), against 17.2 for the U.S.
- By the model's major-crime rate per resident, Swatara is higher than 86% of the 478 other Pennsylvania places and 83% of the 8,446 other places nationwide on CrimeMetric.
Where these numbers come from
The estimates start from what police agencies report to the FBI, modeled across Swatara's 17 census block groups for 27,992 residents. How Pennsylvania residents' crime totals reach the FBI: detailed incident reports for 32.2%, summary counts only for 35.0%, estimates from past reports or similar agencies for 24.9% and no reporting agency of their own for 8.0% (shares of 2020 residents). Sources · Method
- Year: many show an agency's last full FBI year (often two years back). These figures are the model's estimate for the current year, release 2026-11-10.
- Crimes counted: some add simple assault, vandalism or drug offenses to "violent" or "property" crime; here major crime is persons plus property crime, and social disorder is separate.
- Area: an agency's totals cover its jurisdiction, which can differ from the city's limits; these are summed over the block groups inside Swatara.
- Scale: a grade or a 1-to-100 score ranks places against each other; a rate per 1,000 residents and an index against the U.S. rate don't.
Rates are the model's estimates of reported crime per 1,000 residents a year. Index: 100 is the U.S. rate per resident; 200 is twice it. How we calculated this
How crime varies across Swatara
Half of residents live where the major-crime index is between 46 and 83.
- 0–5029.6%
- 50–10045.5%
- 100–2009.7%
- 200–4000.0%
- 400+15.2%
Check an address in Swatara
Shoplifting stands out most, at 3.6 times the U.S. rate
Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live
Property crimes
Social disorder
Highest on weeknights
100 is the U.S. rate, same hours.
Expected major crime fell 11.7% in a year; across Pennsylvania it fell 8.6%
Change in the model's expected crimes, not a count of reports; Pennsylvania in gray. 2031 is a model projection, not tested against past years.
Swatara against U.S. places with 25,000 to 50,000 residents
94 of the 1,120 other places of this size have a major-crime index at least 15% above Swatara's, and 98 are within 15% of it; the middle of the group is 73. The 9 nearest in population:
U.S. = 100. Residents in gray.
Swatara's major-crime index is higher than 6 and within 15% of 2 of its 8 nearest neighbors
The closest, Lawnton (1 mi), is 30% below Swatara's rate.
U.S. = 100. Miles between population centers.
Questions about crime in Swatara
Is Swatara safe?
Swatara's major-crime index is 151, 1.5 times the U.S. rate per resident and higher than 86% of the 478 other Pennsylvania places on CrimeMetric: violent crimes against people are 51% below the U.S. rate, and property crimes 1.7 times the U.S. rate.
What is the crime rate in Swatara?
The model expects about 727 major crimes a year in Swatara, about 26.0 per 1,000 residents, 1.5 times the U.S. rate.
Is crime going up or down in Swatara?
Expected major crimes in Swatara are down 11.7% from a year earlier; across Pennsylvania they're down 8.6%.
What are the most common crimes in Swatara?
By the model's expected count, the most common crimes against people and property are shoplifting (about 319 a year), theft from vehicle (about 139 a year) and other larceny (about 139 a year).
Are car break-ins common in Swatara?
The model expects about 139 thefts from vehicles a year in Swatara, 1.9 times the U.S. rate per resident.
Are car thefts common in Swatara?
The model expects about 42 motor vehicle thefts a year in Swatara, 6% below the U.S. rate per resident.
Is Swatara safe at night?
The model's major-crime index is 164 on Sunday to Thursday nights from 6pm to 6am, against 158 at its highest in the daytime; 100 is the U.S. rate for the same hours. That's a citywide estimate per resident for those hours: it can't speak to a particular street, venue or evening. For one address, use the address lookup on this page.
Is crime in Swatara higher than the Pennsylvania average?
Swatara's major-crime index is 151, 1.8 times the Pennsylvania rate per resident. Pennsylvania as a whole is 84, where 100 is the U.S. rate.
How does crime in Swatara compare with Lawnton?
Lawnton, 1 mile away, has a major-crime index of 106, 30% below Swatara's rate per resident. Swatara's is 151.
How we calculated this
Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI or estimated where it didn't report, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Swatara's figures add up its 17 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.
- Swatara's published incident records inform the estimate for every neighborhood.
- Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
- Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
- Residents: 27,992. Model updated Nov 10, 2026. Release 2026-11-10
Full method and validation·Data sources
CrimeMetric. "Crime in Swatara, Pennsylvania." Vorp Labs, updated November 9, 2026 (model Nov 10, 2026). https://crimemetric.com/pa/swatara
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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100
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