Crime in Manchester, Virginia
Major crime in Manchester is 44% above the U.S. rate per resident: about the same for persons crimes and 1.5 times for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 3.3% from a year earlier.
Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this
Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.
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Simple assault stands out most, at 2.7 times the U.S. rate
Expected crimes per year in Manchester for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.
Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live
Property crimes
Social disorder
How crime varies across Manchester
The middle half of Manchester residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 33 and 177; the typical (median) resident's is 70. The citywide figure (144) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.
- 0–5029.6%
- 50–10022.5%
- 100–20025.7%
- 200–40016.5%
- 400+5.7%
Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.
Highest on weeknights
Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.
Major crime fell 3.3% in a year; across Virginia it fell 8.5%
Change in expected crimes, with Virginia as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.
Manchester against U.S. places with 10,000 to 25,000 residents
313 of the 2,149 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Manchester; the middle of the group is 72. The 9 nearest in population:
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.
Manchester has a higher major-crime index than 6 of its 8 nearest neighbors
The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Rockwood (2 mi), is 76% below Manchester's rate.
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.
Questions about crime in Manchester
What are the most common crimes in Manchester?
By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are shoplifting (about 98 a year), other larceny (about 69 a year) and theft from vehicle (about 63 a year). Compared with the U.S., simple assault stands out most: 2.7 times the U.S. rate per resident.
How we calculated this
Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Manchester's figures add up its 7 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.
- Manchester's published incident records inform the estimate for every neighborhood.
- 63.8% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
- Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
- Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
- Residents: 12,653. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2
Full method and validation·Data sources
CrimeMetric. "Crime in Manchester, Virginia." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/va/manchester
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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100
- Rockwood2 mi34
- Bon Air3 mi196
- Richmond5 mi225
- Meadowbrook6 mi92
- Bensley6 mi107
- Midlothian6 mi54
- Brandermill7 mi86
- Tuckahoe8 mi77