CrimeMetric

Crime in Midlothian, Virginia

Major crime in Midlothian is 46% below the U.S. rate per resident: 55% lower for persons crimes and 44% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 2.7% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
54
46% below the U.S. rate
36% below the Virginia rate
down 2.7% in a year
Persons crimes
45
55% below the U.S. rate
30% below the Virginia rate
up 8.7% in a year
Property crimes
56
44% below the U.S. rate
38% below the Virginia rate
down 4.5% in a year
Social disorder
109
9% above the U.S. rate
16% above the Virginia rate
up 5.1% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Midlothian

Crime by type

Simple assault stands out most, at 1.8 times the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Midlothian for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Midlothian

The middle half of Midlothian residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 20 and 82; the typical (median) resident's is 71.

Map of Midlothian, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5047.9%
  • 50–10042.5%
  • 100–2009.6%
  • 200–4000.0%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weeknights

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm51
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am60
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm52
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am53
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 2.7% in a year; across Virginia it fell 8.5%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-2.7%VA -8.5%-7.3%VA -12.4%
Persons crimes+8.7%VA -5.2%+4.4%VA -1.9%
Property crimes-4.5%VA -9.0%-9.4%VA -14.1%
Social disorder+5.1%VA -5.3%+1.2%VA -5.7%

Change in expected crimes, with Virginia as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Midlothian against U.S. places with 10,000 to 25,000 residents

1,398 of the 2,149 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Midlothian; the middle of the group is 72. The 9 nearest in population:

Tukwila, WA21,897593
Evans, CO21,854108
Midlothian, VA21,87754
Merrick, NY21,91550
Lakeside, CA21,89731

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Midlothian has a higher major-crime index than 2 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Brandermill (4 mi), is 1.6 times Midlothian's rate.

Richmond11 mi225
Bon Air5 mi196
Manchester6 mi144
Tuckahoe9 mi77
Midlothian54
Woodlake5 mi50
Rockwood5 mi34

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Midlothian

What are the most common crimes in Midlothian?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 57 a year), theft from vehicle (about 53 a year) and shoplifting (about 36 a year). Compared with the U.S., simple assault stands out most: 1.8 times the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Midlothian's figures add up its 10 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Midlothian's published incident records inform the estimate for every neighborhood.
  • 53.2% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 21,877. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Midlothian, Virginia." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/va/midlothian

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100