CrimeMetric

Crime in Lake Ridge, Virginia

Major crime in Lake Ridge is 52% below the U.S. rate per resident: 45% lower for persons crimes and 54% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 16.6% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
48
52% below the U.S. rate
44% below the Virginia rate
down 16.6% in a year
Persons crimes
55
45% below the U.S. rate
13% below the Virginia rate
down 1.2% in a year
Property crimes
46
54% below the U.S. rate
49% below the Virginia rate
down 20.0% in a year
Social disorder
59
41% below the U.S. rate
37% below the Virginia rate
down 8.3% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Lake Ridge

Crime by type

No crime type in Lake Ridge is more than 10% above the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Lake Ridge for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Lake Ridge

The middle half of Lake Ridge residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 30 and 49; the typical (median) resident's is 39. The citywide figure (48) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of Lake Ridge, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Tap one to compare it. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5076.7%
  • 50–10014.8%
  • 100–2008.5%
  • 200–4000.0%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weeknights

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm38
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am60
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm38
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am58
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 16.6% in a year; across Virginia it fell 8.5%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-16.6%VA -8.5%-7.9%VA -12.4%
Persons crimes-1.2%VA -5.2%-0.7%VA -1.9%
Property crimes-20.0%VA -9.0%-9.8%VA -14.1%
Social disorder-8.3%VA -5.3%-1.8%VA -5.7%

Change in expected crimes, with Virginia as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Lake Ridge against U.S. places with 25,000 to 50,000 residents

740 of the 960 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Lake Ridge; the middle of the group is 77. The 9 nearest in population:

Monroe, LA47,434352
Greer, SC47,18665
Lake Ridge, VA47,43448
Oakley, CA47,66345

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Lake Ridge has a higher major-crime index than 3 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, County Center (2 mi), is 10% above Lake Ridge's rate.

Lorton5 mi59
Dale City3 mi48
Lake Ridge48
Montclair5 mi40

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Lake Ridge

What are the most common crimes in Lake Ridge?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are theft from vehicle (about 93 a year), shoplifting (about 82 a year) and motor vehicle theft (about 60 a year). Compared with the U.S., simple assault stands out most: 8% above the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Lake Ridge's figures add up its 27 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Lake Ridge has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 57.8% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 47,434. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Lake Ridge, Virginia." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/va/lake-ridge

Use these numbers in your product

Any U.S. address by API or MCP, free for 10,000 lookups a month.

Get a free API key

Nearest cities we publish

Major-crime index, U.S. = 100