CrimeMetric

Crime in Leesylvania, Virginia

Major crime in Leesylvania is about the U.S. rate per resident: 31% lower for persons crimes and 13% higher for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 19.3% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
105
about the U.S. rate
24% above the Virginia rate
down 19.3% in a year
Persons crimes
69
31% below the U.S. rate
8% above the Virginia rate
down 1.3% in a year
Property crimes
113
13% above the U.S. rate
26% above the Virginia rate
down 21.3% in a year
Social disorder
73
27% below the U.S. rate
22% below the Virginia rate
down 9.1% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

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Crime by type

Shoplifting stands out most, at 2.9 times the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Leesylvania for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Leesylvania

The middle half of Leesylvania residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 23 and 58; the typical (median) resident's is 41. The citywide figure (105) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of Leesylvania, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5050.7%
  • 50–10039.5%
  • 100–2007.1%
  • 200–4000.0%
  • 400+2.7%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weekend daytimes

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm108
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am97
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm123
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am96
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 19.3% in a year; across Virginia it fell 8.5%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-19.3%VA -8.5%-10.2%VA -12.4%
Persons crimes-1.3%VA -5.2%-1.5%VA -1.9%
Property crimes-21.3%VA -9.0%-11.3%VA -14.1%
Social disorder-9.1%VA -5.3%-1.7%VA -5.7%

Change in expected crimes, with Virginia as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Leesylvania against U.S. places with 10,000 to 25,000 residents

618 of the 2,149 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Leesylvania; the middle of the group is 72. The 9 nearest in population:

Gallup, NM21,105302
Hermiston, OR21,119155
Leesylvania, VA21,144105
Monroe, WA21,15997
Lealman, FL21,13588

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Leesylvania has a higher major-crime index than all of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Cherry Hill (2 mi), is 48% below Leesylvania's rate.

Leesylvania105
Dumfries4 mi73
Dale City4 mi48
Triangle5 mi44
Montclair3 mi40

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Leesylvania

What are the most common crimes in Leesylvania?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are shoplifting (about 197 a year), theft from vehicle (about 56 a year) and other larceny (about 38 a year). Compared with the U.S., shoplifting stands out most: 2.9 times the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Leesylvania's figures add up its 12 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Leesylvania has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 69.8% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 21,144. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Leesylvania, Virginia." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/va/leesylvania

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100