CrimeMetric

Crime in Lorton, Virginia

Major crime in Lorton is 42% below the U.S. rate per resident: 64% lower for persons crimes and 37% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 18.8% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
59
42% below the U.S. rate
31% below the Virginia rate
down 18.8% in a year
Persons crimes
36
64% below the U.S. rate
44% below the Virginia rate
down 11.9% in a year
Property crimes
64
37% below the U.S. rate
29% below the Virginia rate
down 19.6% in a year
Social disorder
60
40% below the U.S. rate
36% below the Virginia rate
down 15.9% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Lorton

Crime by type

Every crime type in Lorton is near or below the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Lorton for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Lorton

The middle half of Lorton residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 25 and 74; the typical (median) resident's is 50.

Map of Lorton, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5046.9%
  • 50–10045.1%
  • 100–2008.0%
  • 200–4000.0%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Lowest on Friday and Saturday nights

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm59
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am60
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm60
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am54
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 18.8% in a year; across Virginia it fell 8.5%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-18.8%VA -8.5%-11.6%VA -12.4%
Persons crimes-11.9%VA -5.2%-4.7%VA -1.9%
Property crimes-19.6%VA -9.0%-12.5%VA -14.1%
Social disorder-15.9%VA -5.3%-5.2%VA -5.7%

Change in expected crimes, with Virginia as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Lorton against U.S. places with 10,000 to 25,000 residents

1,312 of the 2,149 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Lorton; the middle of the group is 72. The 9 nearest in population:

Harvey, LA21,530256
Hays, KS21,63168
Lorton, VA21,59159
Boone, NC21,54258

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Lorton has a higher major-crime index than 6 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Laurel Hill (1 mi), is 49% below Lorton's rate.

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Lorton

What are the most common crimes in Lorton?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 64 a year), shoplifting (about 55 a year) and theft from vehicle (about 38 a year). Compared with the U.S., simple assault stands out most: 9% below the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Lorton's figures add up its 11 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Lorton's published incident records inform the estimate for every neighborhood.
  • 46.0% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 21,591. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Lorton, Virginia." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/va/lorton

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100