CrimeMetric

Crime in Leesburg, Virginia

Major crime in Leesburg is 10% below the U.S. rate per resident: 27% lower for persons crimes and 6% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 12.0% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
90
10% below the U.S. rate
6% above the Virginia rate
down 12.0% in a year
Persons crimes
73
27% below the U.S. rate
15% above the Virginia rate
down 6.2% in a year
Property crimes
94
6% below the U.S. rate
5% above the Virginia rate
down 13.0% in a year
Social disorder
83
17% below the U.S. rate
11% below the Virginia rate
down 10.4% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Leesburg

Crime by type

Shoplifting stands out most, at 2.4 times the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Leesburg for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Leesburg

The middle half of Leesburg residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 23 and 60; the typical (median) resident's is 40. The citywide figure (90) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of Leesburg, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Tap one to compare it. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5062.4%
  • 50–10017.3%
  • 100–2005.7%
  • 200–40010.6%
  • 400+3.9%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weekend daytimes

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm99
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am69
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm127
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am77
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 12.0% in a year; across Virginia it fell 8.5%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-12.0%VA -8.5%-10.8%VA -12.4%
Persons crimes-6.2%VA -5.2%+0.8%VA -1.9%
Property crimes-13.0%VA -9.0%-12.7%VA -14.1%
Social disorder-10.4%VA -5.3%-4.6%VA -5.7%

Change in expected crimes, with Virginia as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Leesburg against U.S. places with 50,000 to 100,000 residents

278 of the 540 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Leesburg; the middle of the group is 92. The 9 nearest in population:

Paramount, CA50,326164
Portage, MI50,418131
Leesburg, VA50,22390
Windsor, CO50,43177
DeLand, FL50,17159

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Leesburg has a higher major-crime index than 7 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Lansdowne (4 mi), is 76% below Leesburg's rate.

Leesburg90
Ashburn6 mi39
Lansdowne4 mi22
Belmont5 mi16

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Leesburg

What are the most common crimes in Leesburg?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are shoplifting (about 388 a year), other larceny (about 153 a year) and aggravated assault (about 89 a year). Compared with the U.S., shoplifting stands out most: 2.4 times the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Leesburg's figures add up its 26 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Leesburg's published incident records inform the estimate for every neighborhood.
  • 27.7% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 50,223. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Leesburg, Virginia." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/va/leesburg

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100