Crime in Ashburn, Virginia
Major crime in Ashburn is 61% below the U.S. rate per resident: 71% lower for persons crimes and 59% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 16.6% from a year earlier.
Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this
Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.
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Every crime type in Ashburn is near or below the U.S. rate
Expected crimes per year in Ashburn for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.
Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live
Property crimes
Social disorder
How crime varies across Ashburn
The middle half of Ashburn residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 11 and 37; the typical (median) resident's is 19. The citywide figure (39) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.
- 0–5082.4%
- 50–1008.8%
- 100–2004.9%
- 200–4003.9%
- 400+0.0%
Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.
Highest on weeknights
Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.
Major crime fell 16.6% in a year; across Virginia it fell 8.5%
Change in expected crimes, with Virginia as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.
Ashburn against U.S. places with 25,000 to 50,000 residents
827 of the 960 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Ashburn; the middle of the group is 77. The 9 nearest in population:
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.
Ashburn has a higher major-crime index than 7 of its 8 nearest neighbors
The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Belmont (2 mi), is 60% below Ashburn's rate.
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.
Questions about crime in Ashburn
What are the most common crimes in Ashburn?
By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 104 a year), shoplifting (about 82 a year) and theft from vehicle (about 56 a year). Compared with the U.S., simple assault stands out most: 18% below the U.S. rate per resident.
How we calculated this
Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Ashburn's figures add up its 27 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.
- Ashburn's published incident records inform the estimate for every neighborhood.
- 12.5% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
- Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
- Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
- Residents: 46,540. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2
Full method and validation·Data sources
CrimeMetric. "Crime in Ashburn, Virginia." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/va/ashburn
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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100
- Belmont2 mi16
- Broadlands2 mi21
- Moorefield3 mi21
- Lansdowne4 mi22
- Dulles Town Center4 mi162
- Countryside4 mi22
- Loudoun Valley Estates4 mi20
- Sterling5 mi34