CrimeMetric

Crime in Dulles Town Center, Virginia

Major crime in Dulles Town Center is 1.6 times the U.S. rate per resident: about the same for persons crimes and 1.8 times for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 16.9% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
162
1.6 times the U.S. rate
1.9 times the Virginia rate
down 16.9% in a year
Persons crimes
98
about the U.S. rate
1.5 times the Virginia rate
up 8.2% in a year
Property crimes
176
1.8 times the U.S. rate
2.0 times the Virginia rate
down 19.2% in a year
Social disorder
140
40% above the U.S. rate
50% above the Virginia rate
down 1.0% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Dulles Town Center

Crime by type

Shoplifting stands out most, at 4.2 times the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Dulles Town Center for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

Neighborhoods in Dulles Town Center

Dulles Town Center is made up of 3 census block groups. The typical resident lives where the major-crime index is 204; the middle half of residents live where it is between 60 and 204.

Map of Dulles Town Center, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the key's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–500.0%
  • 50–10049.2%
  • 100–2000.0%
  • 200–40050.8%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weekend daytimes

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm148
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am170
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm177
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am169
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 16.9% in a year; across Virginia it fell 8.5%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-16.9%VA -8.5%-9.0%VA -12.4%
Persons crimes+8.2%VA -5.2%+1.7%VA -1.9%
Property crimes-19.2%VA -9.0%-10.3%VA -14.1%
Social disorder-1.0%VA -5.3%-2.1%VA -5.7%

Change in expected crimes, with Virginia as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Dulles Town Center against U.S. places with 5,000 to 10,000 residents

217 of the 2,163 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Dulles Town Center; the middle of the group is 63. The 9 nearest in population:

Dulles Town Center, VA5,775162
El Rio, CA5,77568
Brady, TX5,77749
Ada, OH5,77544
Erwin, TN5,77732

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Dulles Town Center has a higher major-crime index than all of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Countryside (2 mi), is 86% below Dulles Town Center's rate.

Dulles Town Center162
Herndon4 mi83
Cascades2 mi62
Ashburn4 mi39
Sterling2 mi34
Belmont5 mi16

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Dulles Town Center

What are the most common crimes in Dulles Town Center?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are shoplifting (about 76 a year), other larceny (about 37 a year) and theft from vehicle (about 18 a year). Compared with the U.S., shoplifting stands out most: 4.2 times the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Dulles Town Center's figures add up its 3 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Dulles Town Center's published incident records inform the estimate for every neighborhood.
  • 100.0% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 5,775. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Dulles Town Center, Virginia." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/va/dulles-town-center

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100