CrimeMetric

Crime in Newington Forest, Virginia

Major crime in Newington Forest is 80% below the U.S. rate per resident: 86% lower for persons crimes and 79% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 16.7% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
20
80% below the U.S. rate
76% below the Virginia rate
down 16.7% in a year
Persons crimes
15
86% below the U.S. rate
77% below the Virginia rate
down 11.6% in a year
Property crimes
21
79% below the U.S. rate
76% below the Virginia rate
down 17.4% in a year
Social disorder
30
70% below the U.S. rate
68% below the Virginia rate
down 15.9% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Newington Forest

Crime by type

Every crime type in Newington Forest is near or below the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Newington Forest for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Newington Forest

The middle half of Newington Forest residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 18 and 22; the typical (median) resident's is 20.

Map of Newington Forest, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–50100.0%
  • 50–1000.0%
  • 100–2000.0%
  • 200–4000.0%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weeknights

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm19
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am22
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm18
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am20
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 16.7% in a year; across Virginia it fell 8.5%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-16.7%VA -8.5%-12.2%VA -12.4%
Persons crimes-11.6%VA -5.2%-1.4%VA -1.9%
Property crimes-17.4%VA -9.0%-13.8%VA -14.1%
Social disorder-15.9%VA -5.3%-4.4%VA -5.7%

Change in expected crimes, with Virginia as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Newington Forest against U.S. places with 10,000 to 25,000 residents

2,127 of the 2,149 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Newington Forest; the middle of the group is 72. The 9 nearest in population:

Waimalu, HI12,932141
Oakland, NJ12,98322
Newington Forest, VA12,95920
Kewanee, IL12,95918

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Newington Forest has a lower major-crime index than all of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Crosspointe (2 mi), is 2.1 times Newington Forest's rate.

Newington2 mi76
Lorton3 mi59
Franconia5 mi51
Burke3 mi31
Newington Forest20

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Newington Forest

What are the most common crimes in Newington Forest?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 18 a year), theft from vehicle (about 12 a year) and shoplifting (about 4 a year). Compared with the U.S., simple assault stands out most: 50% below the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Newington Forest's figures add up its 6 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Newington Forest's published incident records inform the estimate for every neighborhood.
  • 0.0% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 12,959. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Newington Forest, Virginia." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/va/newington-forest

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100