CrimeMetric

Crime in Spotsylvania Courthouse, Virginia

Major crime in Spotsylvania Courthouse is 76% below the U.S. rate per resident: 43% lower for persons crimes and 83% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 24.6% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
24
76% below the U.S. rate
71% below the Virginia rate
down 24.6% in a year
Persons crimes
57
43% below the U.S. rate
10% below the Virginia rate
down 13.5% in a year
Property crimes
17
83% below the U.S. rate
81% below the Virginia rate
down 31.1% in a year
Social disorder
52
49% below the U.S. rate
45% below the Virginia rate
down 21.7% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

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Crime by type

Every crime type in Spotsylvania Courthouse is near or below the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Spotsylvania Courthouse for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

Neighborhoods in Spotsylvania Courthouse

Spotsylvania Courthouse is made up of 4 census block groups. The typical resident lives where the major-crime index is 20; the middle half of residents live where it is between 12 and 33.

Map of Spotsylvania Courthouse, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the key's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5094.4%
  • 50–1005.6%
  • 100–2000.0%
  • 200–4000.0%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on Friday and Saturday nights

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm22
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am26
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm23
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am30
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 24.6% in a year; across Virginia it fell 8.5%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-24.6%VA -8.5%+0.2%VA -12.4%
Persons crimes-13.5%VA -5.2%+10.8%VA -1.9%
Property crimes-31.1%VA -9.0%-7.7%VA -14.1%
Social disorder-21.7%VA -5.3%+3.6%VA -5.7%

Change in expected crimes, with Virginia as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Spotsylvania Courthouse against U.S. places with 5,000 to 10,000 residents

2,037 of the 2,163 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Spotsylvania Courthouse; the middle of the group is 63. The 9 nearest in population:

Hudson, NH7,650117
Ilion, NY7,653109
Garnet, CA7,654101
Edna, TX7,65443
Spotsylvania Courthouse, VA7,65124

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Spotsylvania Courthouse has a higher major-crime index than 2 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Fredericksburg (10 mi), is 6.5 times Spotsylvania Courthouse's rate.

Culpeper30 mi81
Triangle29 mi44
Falmouth13 mi41
Spotsylvania Courthouse24
Bealeton29 mi18

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Spotsylvania Courthouse

What are the most common crimes in Spotsylvania Courthouse?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are aggravated assault (about 11 a year), other larceny (about 9 a year) and theft from vehicle (about 4 a year). Compared with the U.S., simple assault stands out most: 18% below the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Spotsylvania Courthouse's figures add up its 4 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Spotsylvania Courthouse's published incident records inform the estimate for every neighborhood.
  • 0.0% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 7,651. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Spotsylvania Courthouse, Virginia." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/va/spotsylvania-courthouse

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100