CrimeMetric

Crime in Triangle, Virginia

Major crime in Triangle is 56% below the U.S. rate per resident: 39% lower for persons crimes and 60% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 13.8% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
44
56% below the U.S. rate
48% below the Virginia rate
down 13.8% in a year
Persons crimes
61
39% below the U.S. rate
about the Virginia rate
down 1.5% in a year
Property crimes
41
60% below the U.S. rate
55% below the Virginia rate
down 17.2% in a year
Social disorder
61
39% below the U.S. rate
35% below the Virginia rate
down 7.7% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Triangle

Crime by type

No crime type in Triangle is more than 10% above the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Triangle for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Triangle

The middle half of Triangle residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 34 and 46; the typical (median) resident's is 45.

Map of Triangle, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5081.7%
  • 50–10018.3%
  • 100–2000.0%
  • 200–4000.0%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest at night

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm33
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am58
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm34
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am57
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 13.8% in a year; across Virginia it fell 8.5%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-13.8%VA -8.5%-6.1%VA -12.4%
Persons crimes-1.5%VA -5.2%+0.8%VA -1.9%
Property crimes-17.2%VA -9.0%-8.4%VA -14.1%
Social disorder-7.7%VA -5.3%-1.2%VA -5.7%

Change in expected crimes, with Virginia as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Triangle against U.S. places with 10,000 to 25,000 residents

1,633 of the 2,149 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Triangle; the middle of the group is 72. The 9 nearest in population:

Okmulgee, OK12,285223
Tarboro, NC12,296126
Dunkirk, NY12,300103
Rantoul, IL12,28399
Triangle, VA12,28544

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Triangle has a higher major-crime index than 3 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Dumfries (1 mi), is 1.7 times Triangle's rate.

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Triangle

What are the most common crimes in Triangle?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are theft from vehicle (about 22 a year), other larceny (about 21 a year) and aggravated assault (about 18 a year). Compared with the U.S., simple assault stands out most: 9% above the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Triangle's figures add up its 6 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Triangle has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 51.4% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 12,285. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Triangle, Virginia." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/va/triangle

Use these numbers in your product

Any U.S. address by API or MCP, free for 10,000 lookups a month.

Get a free API key

Nearest cities we publish

Major-crime index, U.S. = 100