CrimeMetric

Crime in Wolf Trap, Virginia

Major crime in Wolf Trap is 75% below the U.S. rate per resident: 87% lower for persons crimes and 72% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 16.7% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
25
75% below the U.S. rate
70% below the Virginia rate
down 16.7% in a year
Persons crimes
13
87% below the U.S. rate
80% below the Virginia rate
down 11.7% in a year
Property crimes
28
72% below the U.S. rate
69% below the Virginia rate
down 17.1% in a year
Social disorder
32
68% below the U.S. rate
65% below the Virginia rate
down 16.0% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Wolf Trap

Crime by type

Every crime type in Wolf Trap is near or below the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Wolf Trap for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Wolf Trap

The middle half of Wolf Trap residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 18 and 27; the typical (median) resident's is 21. The citywide figure (25) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of Wolf Trap, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5087.0%
  • 50–10013.0%
  • 100–2000.0%
  • 200–4000.0%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weekend daytimes

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm26
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am24
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm27
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am23
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 16.7% in a year; across Virginia it fell 8.5%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-16.7%VA -8.5%-12.9%VA -12.4%
Persons crimes-11.7%VA -5.2%-1.6%VA -1.9%
Property crimes-17.1%VA -9.0%-14.0%VA -14.1%
Social disorder-16.0%VA -5.3%-5.0%VA -5.7%

Change in expected crimes, with Virginia as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Wolf Trap against U.S. places with 10,000 to 25,000 residents

2,060 of the 2,149 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Wolf Trap; the middle of the group is 72. The 9 nearest in population:

Live Oak, CA17,174108
Abington, MA17,20772
Tiffin, OH17,22660
Bethpage, NY17,22850
Wolf Trap, VA17,20925

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Wolf Trap has a higher major-crime index than 1 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Vienna (3 mi), is 2.0 times Wolf Trap's rate.

Merrifield5 mi172
Reston4 mi80
Vienna3 mi52
Idylwood5 mi51
Oakton4 mi34
Wolf Trap25

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Wolf Trap

What are the most common crimes in Wolf Trap?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 33 a year), theft from vehicle (about 20 a year) and shoplifting (about 8 a year). Compared with the U.S., simple assault stands out most: 52% below the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Wolf Trap's figures add up its 10 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Wolf Trap's published incident records inform the estimate for every neighborhood.
  • 0.0% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 17,209. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Wolf Trap, Virginia." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/va/wolf-trap

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100