CrimeMetric

Crime in Douglas, Arizona

Major crime in Douglas is 45% below the U.S. rate per resident: 65% lower for persons crimes and 41% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 9.4% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
55
45% below the U.S. rate
49% below the Arizona rate
down 9.4% in a year
Persons crimes
35
65% below the U.S. rate
72% below the Arizona rate
down 5.0% in a year
Property crimes
59
41% below the U.S. rate
42% below the Arizona rate
down 9.9% in a year
Social disorder
53
47% below the U.S. rate
54% below the Arizona rate
down 7.5% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Douglas

Crime by type

Murder stands out most, at 39% above the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Douglas for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Douglas

The middle half of Douglas residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 17 and 72; the typical (median) resident's is 40. The citywide figure (55) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of Douglas, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5068.4%
  • 50–10015.1%
  • 100–20016.6%
  • 200–4000.0%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weeknights

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm49
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am65
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm48
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am57
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 9.4% in a year; across Arizona it fell 3.2%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-9.4%AZ -3.2%-19.3%AZ -9.4%
Persons crimes-5.0%AZ +2.1%-4.2%AZ +1.4%
Property crimes-9.9%AZ -4.5%-21.3%AZ -12.2%
Social disorder-7.5%AZ -0.6%-11.3%AZ -3.4%

Change in expected crimes, with Arizona as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Douglas against U.S. places with 10,000 to 25,000 residents

1,386 of the 2,149 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Douglas; the middle of the group is 72. The 9 nearest in population:

Sikeston, MO16,917197
Albemarle, NC16,902161
Douglas, AZ16,87355
Vienna, VA16,85052
Powell, OH16,85334

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Douglas has a higher major-crime index than 4 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Bisbee (22 mi), is 8% below Douglas's rate.

Nogales82 mi172
Willcox61 mi99
Benson59 mi70
Douglas55
Bisbee22 mi50
Vail83 mi44

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Douglas

What are the most common crimes in Douglas?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are shoplifting (about 45 a year), other larceny (about 42 a year) and burglary (about 36 a year). Compared with the U.S., murder stands out most: 39% above the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Douglas's figures add up its 15 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Douglas has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 0.0% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 16,873. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Douglas, Arizona." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/az/douglas

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100