Crime in Nogales, Arizona
Major crime in Nogales is 1.7 times the U.S. rate per resident: 18% lower for persons crimes and 1.9 times for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 10.0% from a year earlier.
Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this
Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.
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Motor vehicle theft stands out most, at 3.7 times the U.S. rate
Expected crimes per year in Nogales for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.
Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live
Property crimes
Social disorder
How crime varies across Nogales
The middle half of Nogales residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 72 and 156; the typical (median) resident's is 126. The citywide figure (172) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.
- 0–509.7%
- 50–10026.5%
- 100–20045.0%
- 200–4005.7%
- 400+13.0%
Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.
Highest on weeknights and on weekend daytimes
Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.
Major crime fell 10.0% in a year; across Arizona it fell 3.2%
Change in expected crimes, with Arizona as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.
Nogales against U.S. places with 10,000 to 25,000 residents
184 of the 2,149 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Nogales; the middle of the group is 72. The 9 nearest in population:
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.
Nogales has a higher major-crime index than all of its 8 nearest neighbors
The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Green Valley (34 mi), is 26% below Nogales's rate.
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.
Questions about crime in Nogales
What are the most common crimes in Nogales?
By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 170 a year), shoplifting (about 155 a year) and motor vehicle theft (about 117 a year). Compared with the U.S., motor vehicle theft stands out most: 3.7 times the U.S. rate per resident.
How we calculated this
Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Nogales's figures add up its 17 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.
- Nogales has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
- 28.7% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
- Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
- Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
- Residents: 19,999. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2
Full method and validation·Data sources
CrimeMetric. "Crime in Nogales, Arizona." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/az/nogales
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Get a free API keyNearest cities we publish
Major-crime index, U.S. = 100
- Green Valley34 mi128
- Sahuarita40 mi61
- Sierra Vista41 mi88
- Corona de Tucson42 mi32
- Vail49 mi44
- Three Points52 mi100
- Rincon Valley53 mi36
- Drexel Heights54 mi125