Crime in Green Valley, Arizona
Major crime in Green Valley is 28% above the U.S. rate per resident: 38% lower for persons crimes and 42% higher for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 7.6% from a year earlier.
Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this
Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.
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Shoplifting stands out most, at 3.8 times the U.S. rate
Expected crimes per year in Green Valley for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.
Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live
Property crimes
Social disorder
How crime varies across Green Valley
The middle half of Green Valley residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 43 and 107; the typical (median) resident's is 71. The citywide figure (128) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.
- 0–5033.7%
- 50–10041.0%
- 100–20011.5%
- 200–40010.2%
- 400+3.6%
Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.
Highest in the daytime
Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.
Major crime fell 7.6% in a year; across Arizona it fell 3.2%
Change in expected crimes, with Arizona as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.
Green Valley against U.S. places with 10,000 to 25,000 residents
406 of the 2,149 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Green Valley; the middle of the group is 72. The 9 nearest in population:
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.
Green Valley has a higher major-crime index than 7 of its 8 nearest neighbors
The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Sahuarita (6 mi), is 52% below Green Valley's rate.
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.
Questions about crime in Green Valley
What are the most common crimes in Green Valley?
By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are shoplifting (about 264 a year), other larceny (about 78 a year) and burglary (about 42 a year). Compared with the U.S., shoplifting stands out most: 3.8 times the U.S. rate per resident.
How we calculated this
Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Green Valley's figures add up its 27 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.
- Green Valley has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
- 14.0% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
- Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
- Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
- Residents: 22,074. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2
Full method and validation·Data sources
CrimeMetric. "Crime in Green Valley, Arizona." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/az/green-valley
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Get a free API keyNearest cities we publish
Major-crime index, U.S. = 100
- Sahuarita6 mi61
- Corona de Tucson15 mi32
- Drexel Heights20 mi125
- Valencia West20 mi56
- Three Points21 mi100
- Vail21 mi44
- South Tucson24 mi646
- Tucson Estates24 mi78