Crime in Centreville, Virginia
Major crime in Centreville is 57% below the U.S. rate per resident: 73% lower for persons crimes and 53% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 16.5% from a year earlier.
Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this
Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.
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Every crime type in Centreville is near or below the U.S. rate
Expected crimes per year in Centreville for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.
Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live
Property crimes
Social disorder
How crime varies across Centreville
The middle half of Centreville residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 18 and 65; the typical (median) resident's is 25. The citywide figure (43) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.
- 0–5071.8%
- 50–10021.8%
- 100–2004.2%
- 200–4002.3%
- 400+0.0%
Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.
Lowest on Friday and Saturday nights
Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.
Major crime fell 16.5% in a year; across Virginia it fell 8.5%
Change in expected crimes, with Virginia as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.
Centreville against U.S. places with 50,000 to 100,000 residents
502 of the 540 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Centreville; the middle of the group is 92. The 9 nearest in population:
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.
Centreville has a higher major-crime index than 2 of its 8 nearest neighbors
The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Bull Run (3 mi), is 44% below Centreville's rate.
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.
Questions about crime in Centreville
What are the most common crimes in Centreville?
By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are shoplifting (about 166 a year), other larceny (about 165 a year) and theft from vehicle (about 112 a year). Compared with the U.S., simple assault stands out most: 24% below the U.S. rate per resident.
How we calculated this
Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Centreville's figures add up its 41 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.
- Centreville's published incident records inform the estimate for every neighborhood.
- 15.7% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
- Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
- Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
- Residents: 74,180. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2
Full method and validation·Data sources
CrimeMetric. "Crime in Centreville, Virginia." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/va/centreville
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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100
- Bull Run3 mi24
- Fair Lakes3 mi217
- Greenbriar3 mi74
- Chantilly3 mi151
- Yorkshire3 mi112
- Braddock4 mi33
- Fair Oaks4 mi107
- Loch Lomond4 mi49