Crime in Patterson, California
Major crime in Patterson is 54% below the U.S. rate per resident: 38% lower for persons crimes and 57% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 9.0% from a year earlier.
Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this
Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.
Check an address in Patterson
Every crime type in Patterson is near or below the U.S. rate
Expected crimes per year in Patterson for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.
Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live
Property crimes
Social disorder
How crime varies across Patterson
The middle half of Patterson residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 24 and 49; the typical (median) resident's is 37. The citywide figure (46) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.
- 0–5076.2%
- 50–10016.2%
- 100–2007.5%
- 200–4000.0%
- 400+0.0%
Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.
Highest on weeknights
Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.
Major crime fell 9.0% in a year; across California it fell 7.4%
Change in expected crimes, with California as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.
Patterson against U.S. places with 25,000 to 50,000 residents
757 of the 960 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Patterson; the middle of the group is 77. The 9 nearest in population:
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.
Patterson has a higher major-crime index than 3 of its 8 nearest neighbors
The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Bret Harte (12 mi), is 7% above Patterson's rate.
Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.
Questions about crime in Patterson
What are the most common crimes in Patterson?
By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 42 a year), theft from vehicle (about 41 a year) and aggravated assault (about 39 a year). Compared with the U.S., murder stands out most: 21% below the U.S. rate per resident.
How we calculated this
Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Patterson's figures add up its 12 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.
- Patterson has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
- 4.2% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
- Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
- Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
- Residents: 27,276. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2
Full method and validation·Data sources
CrimeMetric. "Crime in Patterson, California." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/ca/patterson
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Get a free API keyNearest cities we publish
Major-crime index, U.S. = 100
- Bret Harte12 mi50
- West Modesto12 mi46
- Newman13 mi33
- Ceres14 mi88
- Keyes14 mi47
- Modesto16 mi107
- Turlock16 mi82
- Salida16 mi40