CrimeMetric

Crime in Warrington, Florida

Major crime in Warrington is 28% below the U.S. rate per resident: 13% lower for persons crimes and 31% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 7.7% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
72
28% below the U.S. rate
about the Florida rate
down 7.7% in a year
Persons crimes
87
13% below the U.S. rate
7% above the Florida rate
down 4.6% in a year
Property crimes
69
31% below the U.S. rate
5% below the Florida rate
down 8.6% in a year
Social disorder
66
35% below the U.S. rate
15% below the Florida rate
down 5.7% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Warrington

Crime by type

Every crime type in Warrington is near or below the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Warrington for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Warrington

The middle half of Warrington residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 33 and 90; the typical (median) resident's is 43. The citywide figure (72) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of Warrington, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5053.3%
  • 50–10023.5%
  • 100–20021.9%
  • 200–4000.0%
  • 400+1.3%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weeknights

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm54
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am96
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm58
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am86
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 7.7% in a year; across Florida it fell 7.8%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-7.7%FL -7.8%-9.9%FL -7.9%
Persons crimes-4.6%FL -1.4%+0.6%FL +3.7%
Property crimes-8.6%FL -9.3%-12.9%FL -10.8%
Social disorder-5.7%FL -3.5%-3.2%FL -0.3%

Change in expected crimes, with Florida as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Warrington against U.S. places with 10,000 to 25,000 residents

1,067 of the 2,149 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Warrington; the middle of the group is 72. The 9 nearest in population:

Athens, TN16,536153
Aberdeen, WA16,585149
Gantt, SC16,576111
Hannibal, MO16,649101
Ukiah, CA16,57097
Warrington, FL16,58372
Davidson, NC16,58820

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Warrington has a higher major-crime index than 4 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Myrtle Grove (3 mi), is 9% below Warrington's rate.

Ensley10 mi99
Brent7 mi91
Goulding5 mi91
Warrington72
Ferry Pass11 mi67
Bellview6 mi51
Midway13 mi21

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Warrington

What are the most common crimes in Warrington?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 57 a year), shoplifting (about 39 a year) and aggravated assault (about 35 a year). Compared with the U.S., aggravated assault stands out most: 8% below the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Warrington's figures add up its 10 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Warrington has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 14.1% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 16,583. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Warrington, Florida." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/fl/warrington

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100