CrimeMetric

Crime in Manassas Park, Virginia

Major crime in Manassas Park is 65% below the U.S. rate per resident: 74% lower for persons crimes and 63% lower for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 8.7% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
35
65% below the U.S. rate
59% below the Virginia rate
down 8.7% in a year
Persons crimes
26
74% below the U.S. rate
59% below the Virginia rate
down 6.5% in a year
Property crimes
37
63% below the U.S. rate
59% below the Virginia rate
down 9.1% in a year
Social disorder
50
50% below the U.S. rate
47% below the Virginia rate
down 7.6% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

Check an address in Manassas Park

Crime by type

Drugs and alcohol stands out most, at 34% above the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Manassas Park for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Manassas Park

The middle half of Manassas Park residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 21 and 35; the typical (median) resident's is 22. The citywide figure (35) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of Manassas Park, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5075.8%
  • 50–10024.2%
  • 100–2000.0%
  • 200–4000.0%
  • 400+0.0%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest at night

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm33
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am39
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm31
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am38
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 8.7% in a year; across Virginia it fell 8.5%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-8.7%VA -8.5%-17.5%VA -12.4%
Persons crimes-6.5%VA -5.2%-9.8%VA -1.9%
Property crimes-9.1%VA -9.0%-18.7%VA -14.1%
Social disorder-7.6%VA -5.3%-16.0%VA -5.7%

Change in expected crimes, with Virginia as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Manassas Park against U.S. places with 10,000 to 25,000 residents

1,865 of the 2,149 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Manassas Park; the middle of the group is 72. The 9 nearest in population:

Athens, TN16,536153
Aberdeen, WA16,585149
Gantt, SC16,576111
Hannibal, MO16,649101
Ukiah, CA16,57097
Manassas Park, VA16,57635
Davidson, NC16,58820

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Manassas Park has a higher major-crime index than 1 of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Yorkshire (1 mi), is 3.2 times Manassas Park's rate.

Bull Run4 mi177
Yorkshire1 mi112
Sudley3 mi94
Manassas2 mi86
Buckhall3 mi46
Manassas Park35
Bull Run5 mi24

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Manassas Park

What are the most common crimes in Manassas Park?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 31 a year), theft from vehicle (about 19 a year) and shoplifting (about 19 a year). Compared with the U.S., drugs and alcohol stands out most: 34% above the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Manassas Park's figures add up its 9 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Manassas Park has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 0.0% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 16,576. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Manassas Park, Virginia." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/va/manassas-park

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100