CrimeMetric

Crime in Aberdeen, Washington

Major crime in Aberdeen is 49% above the U.S. rate per resident: 6% higher for persons crimes and 1.6 times for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 8.4% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
149
49% above the U.S. rate
22% above the Washington rate
down 8.4% in a year
Persons crimes
106
6% above the U.S. rate
22% above the Washington rate
down 6.1% in a year
Property crimes
158
1.6 times the U.S. rate
22% above the Washington rate
down 8.7% in a year
Social disorder
159
1.6 times the U.S. rate
2.0 times the Washington rate
down 6.1% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

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Crime by type

Shoplifting stands out most, at 3.6 times the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Aberdeen for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

How crime varies across Aberdeen

The middle half of Aberdeen residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 66 and 138; the typical (median) resident's is 94. The citywide figure (149) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of Aberdeen, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–5011.9%
  • 50–10045.6%
  • 100–20032.7%
  • 200–4000.0%
  • 400+9.8%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on weekday daytimes

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm193
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am95
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm168
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am121
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 8.4% in a year; across Washington it fell 10.1%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-8.4%WA -10.1%-14.8%WA -12.2%
Persons crimes-6.1%WA -5.9%-4.5%WA -1.8%
Property crimes-8.7%WA -10.6%-16.3%WA -13.7%
Social disorder-6.1%WA -9.4%-9.4%WA -6.5%

Change in expected crimes, with Washington as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Aberdeen against U.S. places with 10,000 to 25,000 residents

280 of the 2,149 other places of this size have a higher major-crime index than Aberdeen; the middle of the group is 72. The 9 nearest in population:

Athens, TN16,536153
Aberdeen, WA16,585149
Gantt, SC16,576111
Hannibal, MO16,649101
Ukiah, CA16,57097
Davidson, NC16,58820

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Aberdeen has a higher major-crime index than all of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Hoquiam (3 mi), is 46% below Aberdeen's rate.

Aberdeen149
Shelton37 mi145
Tumwater43 mi102
Montesano10 mi87
Hoquiam3 mi81
Westport15 mi77
Raymond19 mi58
Rochester37 mi47

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Aberdeen

What are the most common crimes in Aberdeen?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are shoplifting (about 188 a year), other larceny (about 89 a year) and burglary (about 39 a year). Compared with the U.S., shoplifting stands out most: 3.6 times the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Aberdeen's figures add up its 18 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Aberdeen has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 6.5% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 16,585. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Aberdeen, Washington." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/wa/aberdeen

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100