CrimeMetric

Crime in Louisville, Kentucky

Major crime in Louisville is 3.4 times the U.S. rate per resident: 3.3 times for persons crimes and 3.5 times for property crimes. Expected major crimes are down 6.3% from a year earlier.

Modeled estimates per resident, not counts of incidents. How we calculated this

Major crime
342
3.4 times the U.S. rate
4.0 times the Kentucky rate
down 6.3% in a year
Persons crimes
326
3.3 times the U.S. rate
5.1 times the Kentucky rate
down 11.3% in a year
Property crimes
346
3.5 times the U.S. rate
3.8 times the Kentucky rate
down 5.2% in a year
Social disorder
237
2.4 times the U.S. rate
2.4 times the Kentucky rate
down 7.5% in a year

Index: crimes per resident compared with the U.S., where 100 is the U.S. rate and 200 is twice it.

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Crime by type

Theft from vehicle and motor vehicle theft stand out most, at about 4.6 times the U.S. rate

Expected crimes per year in Louisville for each type, and the index against the U.S. rate per resident.

Citywide indexWhere the middle half of residents live

IndexPer year

Persons crimes

Robbery342353
Murder14913

Property crimes

Burglary3631,431
Shoplifting1901,456

Social disorder

Intimidation3712,038
Vandalism3213,171
Trespassing2671,507

How crime varies across Louisville

The middle half of Louisville residents live in neighborhoods with a major-crime index between 186 and 395; the typical (median) resident's is 279. The citywide figure (342) is higher than that because crime concentrates in a smaller set of areas.

Map of Louisville, with its census block groups shaded by major-crime index band
Block groups shaded by major-crime index, in the bar's bands below; pale gray where fewer than 100 people live. Tap one to compare it. Highways and boundaries: U.S. Census Bureau.
  • 0–500.5%
  • 50–1005.0%
  • 100–20025.8%
  • 200–40045.5%
  • 400+23.2%

Share of residents by the index of their census block group, a neighborhood of roughly 600 to 3,000 people.

When it happens

Highest on Friday and Saturday nights

Major-crime index by time of week, against the U.S. rate for the same hours.

Monday to Friday, 6am to 6pm298
Sunday to Thursday nights, 6pm to 6am382
Saturday and Sunday, 6am to 6pm308
Friday and Saturday nights, 6pm to 6am418
Trend and outlook

Major crime fell 6.3% in a year; across Kentucky it fell 5.9%

Past yearBy 2031
Major crime-6.3%KY -5.9%-11.9%KY -12.3%
Persons crimes-11.3%KY -9.7%-2.1%KY -1.4%
Property crimes-5.2%KY -5.3%-13.9%KY -14.0%
Social disorder-7.5%KY -5.8%-6.5%KY -7.2%

Change in expected crimes, with Kentucky as a whole in gray. The past year uses the reporting agencies' year-to-date FBI data; 2031 is the model's projection.

Similar-size places

Louisville against U.S. places with 100,000 to 250,000 residents

None of the 268 other places of this size has a higher major-crime index than Louisville; the middle of the group is 109. The 9 nearest in population:

Louisville, KY241,003342
Richmond, VA239,878225
Huntsville, AL244,400132
Arlington, VA248,135109
Scottsdale, AZ245,658107
McKinney, TX246,53445

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; residents in gray.

Nearby places

Louisville has a higher major-crime index than all of its 8 nearest neighbors

The 8 nearest cities and towns we cover, by major-crime index. The closest, Shively (4 mi), is 52% below Louisville's rate.

Major-crime index per resident, U.S. = 100; distances between where residents live, in miles.

Questions about crime in Louisville

What are the most common crimes in Louisville?

By expected count, the most common persons and property crimes are other larceny (about 4,205 a year), theft from vehicle (about 2,909 a year) and aggravated assault (about 1,923 a year). Compared with the U.S., theft from vehicle stands out most: 4.6 times the U.S. rate per resident.

How we calculated this

Each police agency's crimes, as reported to the FBI, are spread across the census block groups it serves using population, jobs, points of interest and, where available, local incident records. Louisville's figures add up its 237 block groups. The index compares crimes per resident with the U.S. rate.

  • Louisville has no published incident records in our data, so its estimate relies on agency totals and neighborhood characteristics.
  • 93.1% of residents live in block groups whose estimate has high confidence (80% interval within about 5x).
  • Rates are per resident, so places where many people work or visit but few live, such as downtowns, airports and stadiums, can read high.
  • Disorderly conduct and trespassing are modeled, because the FBI records them only through arrests.
  • Residents: 241,003. Model updated Oct 20, 2026. Release 2026-2026-10-20-2

Full method and validation·Data sources

Cite this page

CrimeMetric. "Crime in Louisville, Kentucky." Vorp Labs, model updated Oct 20, 2026. https://crimemetric.com/ky/louisville

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Major-crime index, U.S. = 100